Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 Clinical Trial
Official title:
Higher Potency Statins and the Risk of New Diabetes: Multicentre, Observational Study of Administrative Databases
Statins are a class of cholesterol lowering medications that are prescribed for the
prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease. The purpose of this study is to
determine if there is an increased risk of new diabetes when exposed to high potency
statins, compared to low potency statins, among patients who had a recent cardiovascular
event or procedure.
The investigators will carry out separate population based cohort studies using
administrative health care databases in eight jurisdictions in Canada, the US, and the UK.
The cohort will be defined by the initiation of a statin, with follow-up until a diagnosis
of incident diabetes or a prescription for insulin or an oral antidiabetic medication. The
results from the separate sites will be combined in a meta-analysis to provide an overall
assessment of the risk of new onset diabetes in subjects starting a statin.
The study objective is to determine whether the use of high potency statins, compared with
the use of low potency statins, is associated with an increased risk of incident diabetes
following hospitalisation for a cardiovascular event or procedure. The investigators will
use a common-protocol approach to conduct retrospective cohort studies using health care
data from eight jurisdictions (the Canadian provinces of Alberta, Manitoba, Nova Scotia,
Ontario, Quebec, and Saskatchewan, as well as the United States (US) MarketScan and the
United Kingdom (UK) Clinical Practice Research Datalink [CPRD]). The Canadian provincial
databases contain information on physician billing, diagnoses and procedures from hospital
discharge abstracts, and dispensations for prescription drugs at a population level. The
CPRD is a clinical database that is representative of the UK population and contains the
records for patients seen at over 680 general practitioner practices in the UK; these data
will be linked to the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database, which contains in-hospital
diagnosis and procedure data. US MarketScan includes individuals and their dependents
covered by large U.S. employer health insurance plans, and government and public
organizations.
Study population
In each jurisdiction, the investigators will assemble a study cohort that includes all
patients with a new prescription for a statin (after hospital discharge), including
simvastatin, lovastatin, pravastatin, fluvastatin, atorvastatin, and rosuvastatin, from the
earliest availability of data at each site to the last date of available data. The date of
study cohort entry is defined by the prescription date of the newly-prescribed statin.
Patients will be followed from the date of study cohort entry until an event (defined below)
or censoring due to death, departure from the database, 24 months after the initiation of
statin treatment, a dispensing for cerivastatin, or the end of the study period (31 March
2011 or the last date of data availability at that site), whichever occurs first. Data from
Alberta, Ontario, and Nova Scotia will be restricted to patients aged 65 years and older as
prescription data are not available for younger patients.
Case-control selection
The cohort defined above will be analyzed using a nested case-control analysis, where cases
are defined as a hospitalization for incident diabetes or the prescription for an insulin or
an oral antidiabetic medication. Risk set sampling will be used to randomly select up to 10
controls for each case, matched on sex, age (± two years; however, if no controls are
available, within five years), and cohort entry (± 90 days).
Exposure assessment
The exposure categories will be separated by statin potency (high vs. low dose), and the
duration of current exposure. For all cases and controls, exposure will be defined
hierarchically; more specifically, patients who receive both a high and low potency statin
within the same exposure category will be classified as high potency statin users. Current
use of a high potency statin will be defined by the last prescription for a high dose statin
prior to the index date. Current users will be further classified into three mutually
exclusive durations of current exposure (≤120, 121-365, and 366-730 days).
Statistical analyses
Conditional logistic regression will be used to estimate the odds ratios and corresponding
95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association between statin use and the diabetes
endpoint, comparing current use of high potency statins to low potency statins. This is
considered the primary analysis. Several sensitivity analyses will be performed to assess
the robustness of study results and address some of the study limitations. High dimensional
propensity scores will be estimated for all patients in the cohorts using logistic
regression. Finally, all site-specific estimates will be meta-analyzed using fixed or
random-effects models with inverse variance weighting. The amount of between-site
heterogeneity will be estimated using the I square statistic.
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Observational Model: Cohort, Time Perspective: Retrospective
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