Tuberculosis Clinical Trial
Official title:
Evaluating Performance, Impact, and Operational Challenges of GeneXpert Use for TB Case Finding Among HIV-infected Persons in Botswana During 2012-2013: The Xpert Package Rollout Evaluation Study (XPRES)
Background: In Botswana, as in the rest of sub-Saharan Africa, undiagnosed TB or TB diagnosed
late in the course of disease is thought to be the most common cause of death among
HIV-infected persons.
Interventions for Evaluation: The Xpert MTB/RIF assay for the GeneXpert platform (Xpert) has
a TB diagnostic sensitivity of 82.4%, significantly superior to that of smear microscopy
(44.6%). In line with WHO guidelines, the Botswana Ministry of Health (MOH) and CDC rapidly
rolled out the Xpert device and a new Xpert-based diagnostic algorithm in service of 22 HIV
care and treatment clinics. To maximize impact of the Xpert device in improving detection of
active TB, Xpert rollout was preceded by strengthening of TB screening procedures by: (1)
adopting the WHO-recommended 4-symptom TB screen for adults; (2) situating trained TB
case-finding nurses in facilities; and (3) training health facility personnel in TB
diagnostic algorithms. The combination of these strengthened TB screening procedures and
rollout of the Xpert device is referred to as the "Xpert package" in this protocol.
Key Evaluation Objectives: The protocol has two key objectives: (1) to evaluate whether the
new MOH-recommended Xpert-based TB diagnostic algorithm for new adult HIV clinic enrollees is
more sensitive than the pre-Xpert smear-microscopy-based algorithm in diagnosing
culture-positive TB disease; and (2) to evaluate the impact of the whole "Xpert package" on
all-cause mortality during the first 6 months of ART, among adult patients.
Design: Stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial. Sample Size: 6,136 patients were
prospectively enrolled to meet the first primary objective. A retrospective cohort of 10,131
persons was also enrolled to meet the second objective. Projected power to meet both
objectives is >80%.
Time line: Prospective cohort enrollment started in July 2012 and was complete by March 2014.
Retrospective cohort enrollment was complete by March 2015. Patient follow-up and data entry
will be complete in March 2016 at which time analysis to answer the first two primary study
questions will be possible.
Background: In Botswana, as in the rest of sub-Saharan Africa, undiagnosed tuberculosis (TB)
or TB diagnosed late in the course of disease is thought to be the most common cause of death
among HIV-infected persons receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) as well as those not yet on
ART. Common reasons for failure to diagnose TB early, include: (1) failure to appropriately
screen HIV-infected patients for TB; and (2) difficulty in diagnosing TB with traditional
diagnostic methods.
Public Health Intervention: The recent development of the Xpert MTB/RIF assay for the
GeneXpert platform (Xpert) has revolutionized TB diagnostic capability for clinicians
managing HIV-infected patients. Among HIV-infected adults, TB diagnostic sensitivity of Xpert
(82.4%) has been proven superior to that of smear microscopy (44.6%). In line with World
Health organization (WHO) guidelines, the Botswana Ministry of Health (MOH) and the United
States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), initiated a project in July 2012 to
rapidly rollout 13 Xpert devices in service of 22 HIV care and treatment clinics while
simultaneously initiating an evaluation to answer important operational research questions
that can inform future national scale-up. To maximize the impact of the Xpert device in
improving detection of active TB, the Xpert rollout was preceded by strengthening of TB
screening procedures by: (1) ensuring the 22 HIV care and treatment clinics adopted the
WHO-recommended four-symptom TB screen for adults; (2) situating trained TB case-finding
nurses in all 22 facilities; and (3) training health facility personnel in both
smear-microscopy-based and Xpert-based TB diagnostic algorithms. The combination of these
strengthened TB screening procedures and rollout of the Xpert device is referred to as the
"Xpert package" in this proposal.
Key Evaluation Objectives: The evaluation component of this project has two key objectives:
(1) to evaluate whether the new MOH-recommended Xpert-based pulmonary TB diagnostic algorithm
(including Xpert testing of sputum samples for all TB suspects and chest x-ray for
Xpert-negative TB suspects) is more sensitive than the pre-Xpert smear-microscopy-based
algorithm (smear microscopy and chest x-ray for smear-negative TB suspects) in diagnosing
culture-positive TB disease; and (2) to evaluate the impact of the whole "Xpert package" on
all-cause mortality during the first six months of ART, among adult patients.
Rationale for the First Evaluation Objective: Although it is expected that the Xpert-based TB
diagnostic algorithm will be both more sensitive and more specific than the pre-Xpert
algorithm, superiority of the Xpert- over the microscopy-based algorithm in Botswana has not
yet been evaluated.
Rationale for the Second Evaluation Objective: In Botswana, undiagnosed TB or TB diagnosed
late in the course of disease is thought to be the most common cause of death among
HIV-infected persons receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). The Xpert package could
conceivably reduce TB-related mortality by ensuring all patients are screened for TB and
ensuring TB suspects have access to a sensitive TB test (Xpert). Since the start of our
Botswana stepped wedge trial in 2012, two separate but related randomized trials in Africa,
the TB-NEAT study and the XTEND trial, have fallen short of demonstrating an association
between use of Xpert for patients with symptoms of TB and reduced TB mortality. However,
limitations in both these trials mean that the question of whether Xpert can reduce early ART
mortality has not been definitively answered.
Design: Because the Xpert package is expected to have a beneficial effect for patients
enrolling in the 22 study clinics, a phased rollout of the Xpert device using a stepped wedge
design was chosen. Prior to Xpert device rollout, all 22 facilities initiated the intensified
TB screening procedures simultaneously. Subsequently, 13 Xpert devices were activated in a
step-wise manner over nine months with either one or two Xpert devices activated per month
and the order of Xpert device rollout randomly assigned.
This step-wedge design involved enrollment of three cohorts:
1. Prospective cohort A (enrolled pre-Xpert device rollout): All patients who attended one
of the 22 HIV clinics for the first time after study start (July 31, 2012), but before
Xpert device rollout, were eligible for this cohort.
2. Prospective cohort B (enrolled post-Xpert device rollout): All patients who attend one
of the 22 HIV clinics for the first time after Xpert device rollout were eligible for
this cohort.
3. Retrospective cohort: All patients who initiated ART at one of the 22 HIV clinics for
the first time in the 24 months before study start.
To answer the first primary study question, sensitivity of the pre- Xpert TB diagnostic
algorithm in prospective cohort A will be compared with the post- Xpert algorithm sensitivity
in prospective cohort B.
To answer the second primary study question, the investigators will compare 6-month ART
mortality rates of ART enrollees in the retrospective cohort with 6-month ART mortality rates
in prospective cohort B.
Power to Answer First Primary Study Question: Fisher's Exact Test sample size formula for
comparing two proportions and Proc Power features in SAS version 9.2. software, were used to
estimate study power. Power estimates were adjusted for the expected design effect to account
for intra-cluster correlation. For design effect calculations, an intra-class correlation of
0.05 was assumed. With an anticipated sample size of 6,136 prospective enrollees (1,878
pre-Xpert and 4,258 post-Xpert), the study is estimated to have >80% power to detect pre-
versus post-Xpert TB diagnostic sensitivities, assuming a culture-positive TB prevalence of
4% among prospective cohort enrollees, if pre-Xpert sensitivity is ≤52.5% and post-Xpert
sensitivity is ≥82.5%.
Power to Answer Second Primary Study Question: As of August 2015, 10,131 ART patient medical
records had been abstracted for the retrospective cohort. Published literature suggests
pre-Xpert 6-month ART mortality rates should be about 15 per 100 person years (PY). Using
published cluster randomized trial (CRT) power formulae adapted for stepped wedge trials and
anticipated study sample sizes, the study has >80% power to detect a difference in 6-month
all-cause ART mortality between cohorts R and B of 50% if cohort R mortality is ≥6/100 PY and
of 40% if cohort R mortality is ≥13/100 PY.
Procedures: All 22 health facilities were assessed prior to training to troubleshoot
potential logistical barriers to successful study implementation. All personnel involved in
study procedures were trained before study start and closely supervised during
implementation. Patients enrolled in the prospective cohorts are being followed for six
months after HIV clinic enrollment, or through the end of TB treatment, whichever is later.
Tracing of ART patients in retrospective and prospective cohorts, who are documented as late
for appointments or lost to follow-up (missed last scheduled appointment by >60 days) has
been performed according to national guidelines to facilitate estimation of true 6-month ART
mortality.
Time line: Prospective cohort enrollment started in July 2012 and was complete by March 2014.
Retrospective cohort enrollment was complete by March 2015. Patient follow-up and data entry
will be complete in March 2016 at which time analysis to answer the first two primary study
questions will be possible.
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