Coronary Artery Disease Clinical Trial
Official title:
Prognostic Impact of Chronic Total Occlusions - A Report From the Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR)
The purpose of this study is to determine the prognostic impact of the presence of chronic total occlusions (CTO) of the coronary arteries in patients undergoing coronary angiography and PCI.
The SCAAR registry
The SCAAR registry was established in 1999 and is a part of the national SWEDEHEART
registry. The registry gathers data on all consecutive patients from all hospitals that
perform coronary angiography and PCI in Sweden. The information about clinical
characteristics and procedural details is entered into the registry immediately after the
procedure by the PCI physician after the review of clinical information. SCAAR is
independent of commercial funding and is sponsored by the Swedish Health Authorities only.
The technology has been developed and administered by the Uppsala Clinical Research Center,
Uppsala, Sweden. Since 2001, it has a web-based case-report platform with automatic data
surveillance.
Study population
The study population consisted of all consecutive patients that underwent coronary
angiography or PCI in Sweden who were registered between 2005 to 2012 in Swedish Coronary
Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR).
Definitions
The investigators defined CTO as 100% luminal diameter stenosis and the absence of antegrade
flow known or assumed to be ≥3 months duration. Coronary artery disease (CAD) was defined as
a luminal narrowing ≥50% on angiography. Procedural success after PCI treatment of the
coronary lesion is defined as residual stenosis < 50%, decreased grade of stenosis after
intervention by at least 20%, TIMI flow ≥ II and no serious complications.
Study cohort
The study was based on patients who underwent diagnostic coronary angiography and were
registered in SCAAR during the period 2005 to January 2012. Only patients who were diagnosed
with significant coronary artery disease were included in the analyses. A CTO patient was
identified based on the available information about the percentage of luminal stenosis at
the level of coronary segments that was introduced in 2005. From this date onwards, the
information derived from a diagnostic coronary angiogram can also be used to determine if a
coronary segment was totally occluded. In order to differentiate between acute and chronic
occlusions, we excluded patients who underwent a procedure for ACS in whom the 100%
occlusion was located in the same coronary artery as the culprit vessel. Furthermore, we
excluded patients who underwent a procedure in the same vessel within the previous 3 months.
The patients with previous coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery were excluded from
analysis as the patency of the graft could not be determined.
Validation
Validation of the CTO definition was performed in a subgroup of 955 patients from one
university hospital (Sahlgrenska University Hospital) and from three county hospitals (Norra
Älvsborgs Hospital, Borås Hospital, Skövde Hospital). This subgroup represents 5.7% of all
identified CTO patients in SCAAR in the study period. The patients were randomly selected by
means of random number generator. The validation procedure was conducted by a panel
consisting of five experienced interventional cardiologists. The panelists examined
individual coronary angiograms according to a monitoring plan defined in advance. Each
angiogram was evaluated in regard to whether the patient had previous CABG, whether the
treated occlusion was ≥3 months old and whether 100% segmental stenosis on angiogram was an
occlusion ≥3 months old. The results from the validation procedure were then compared to the
data entered in SCAAR.
Statistical analysis
Differences in baseline characteristics between the groups were tested with the χ2 test for
categorical variables while Mann-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis test were used for
comparison of continuous non-normally distributed variables. Shapiro-Wilks test was used as
a test for normal distribution. Statistical significance was defined as a P-value <0.05. The
primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Unadjusted survival was examined using a
Kaplan-Meier survival curve and the log-rank test. To evaluate the association between
presence of CTO and mortality, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were calculated
using Cox proportional-hazards regression models. All tests were two-sided. The potential
confounders such as; age, gender, diabete, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking status,
previous PCI, previous MI, extent of CAD, indication, puncture site, any complication,
primary treatment decision, were all entered into the model. We prespecified six subgroup
analyses for the following patient categories: indication for angiography and PCI (stable
angina, UA/non-STEMI, STEMI and other) severity of CAD (one-, two-, three-vessel and left
main disease) age, gender, diabetes and calendar year. The possible effect modification of
CTO on risk of dying in the subgroups was analyzed by means of interaction test. Age was
examined in the interaction with CTO both as a continuous as well as factorial variable
consisting of four different age groups namely <59, 60-69, 70-79 and >80 years. The
assumption of proportional hazards for each covariate was reviewed separately by the means
of log-minus-log survival plots and by formal test based on scaled Schoenfeld residuals.
Possible multicollinearity between the variables in the model was assessed by calculation of
variance inflation factor. The database was scrutinized for missing data. A number of
variables listed above were associated with missing data. In addition to the complete case
analysis, we applied multiple imputation method to estimate the missing data and performed
Cox proportional hazards regression with the imputed data set under the assumption that
missing data are missing at random. The imputation protocol consisted of the chain-equation
method with a predictive-mean matching algorithm using the same covariates as in the main
analysis with 20 imputed data sets with addition of cumulative hazard and event indicator.
Cumulative hazard was estimated with the Nelson-Aalen's test. Due to hierarchical structure
of SCAAR with clustering of patients within hospitals causing violation of assumption of
independency between the patients, we applied multilevel modeling with shared frailty Cox
proportional-hazards regression to adjust for the clustering effect. This was the primary
model. The secondary model was based on complete-case analysis. All analyses were performed
using Stata software (version 13.1, StataCorp, College Station, Texas, USA). The imputation
procedure and subsequent Cox proportional hazards regression estimation was performed
according to the Rubin's protocol.
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