Surgery Clinical Trial
Official title:
South African Paediatric Surgical Outcomes Study (SAPSOS) A South African National, Multi-centre Fourteen Day Evaluation of Patient Care and Clinical Outcomes for Paediatric Patients Undergoing Surgery
There are few data of paediatric peri-operative morbidity and mortality in South Africa.
There is little information on the burden or profile of surgical disease in the paediatric
population, the level of anaesthesia or surgical care (specialist versus non-specialist) for
paediatric patients, the quality of peri-operative care or contributing factors to poor
outcomes. In order to understand current paediatric peri-operative morbidity and mortality in
South Africa, it is important to start obtaining these data. Risk factors can be identified
and changes can be in implemented accordingly to improve future outcomes.
The study will take place over fourteen-days. It is a South African national multi-centre
prospective cohort study of paediatric patients (<16 years) undergoing surgery. The SAPSOS
study (as was the South African Surgical Outcomes Study (SASOS) study) will be based on the
methodology of the European Surgical Outcomes Study (EuSOS).
This study has important public health implications for South Africa as surgery is now
recognized internationally as an essential part of public health, yet still needs to be
defined as a priority in South Africa. Policy-makers and healthcare providers need evidence
to plan resource allocation in a way that will improve quality and outcomes. The data from
SAPSOS and SASOS, would provide a platform for government and health care providers in South
Africa to appropriately allocate funding, make policy decisions and plan future
peri-operative healthcare in South Africa.
Methods
Fourteen-day, South African national multi-centre prospective cohort study of paediatric
patients (<16 years) undergoing surgery.
Centres
The investigators aim to recruit from as many South African centres as possible. The
investigators anticipate that every Medical University in South Africa will participate
(University of Cape Town, University of the Free State, University of KwaZulu-Natal,
University of Limpopo, University of Pretoria, University of Stellenbosch, Sefako Makgatho
Health Sciences University, University of the Witwatersrand, and Walter Sisulu University),
and most of the hospitals they support and serve will participate in this study.
Ethics approval
Ethics approval has been obtained from each university centre. This study is in effect a
large scale clinical audit, and as such a waiver of consent has been approved by six of the
eight medical school ethics committees, similar to the international precedent that was
already set, as in the original EuSOS study, where consent was waived in 27 of the 28
European countries participating. Only the University of Witwatersrand and the University of
the Free State require patient consent for SAPSOS.
Data collection and collation
Each individual centre will collect and record data on either an electronic or paper case
record form (CRF) for every patient recruited. Paper CRFs will be stored within a locked
office in each centre as they will include identifiable patient data in order to allow
follow-up of clinical outcomes. Data will then be pseudo-anonymised by generation of a unique
numeric code and transcribed by local investigators onto a secure, password protected
internet based electronic CRF. Each patient will only be identified on the electronic CRF by
their numeric code; thus the co-ordinating study team cannot trace data back to an individual
patient without contact with the local team. A participant (patient) list will be used in
each centre to match identifier codes in the database to individual patients in order to
record clinical outcomes and supply any missing data points. Access to the data entry system
will be protected by username and password delivered during the registration process for
individual local investigators. All electronic data transfer between participating centres
and the co-ordinating centre will be encrypted using a secure protocol (HTTPS/SSL 3.0 or
better).
Where individual centres are unable to access the internet based case record form, pseudo-
anonymised (coded) facsimile (fax) data transfer will be available to a secure, dedicated fax
machine in the co-ordinating office. Pseudo-anonymised (coded) data may also be sent by mail
to the coordinating centre if necessary.
Each centre will maintain a secure trial file including a protocol, local investigator
delegation log, ethics approval documentation, the participant list, and other additional
documentation such as trial definitions.
A final summary printout of included patients with major variables should be produced for
each centre together with final data submission to double check for completeness and
accuracy.
Dataset
A realistic data set will be fundamental to the success of the investigation, and this was
confirmed in the EuSOS and SASOS studies where nearly complete data was available on
patients. Following advice from the SASOS steering committee, the investigators have
therefore adopted this dataset with minor changes applicable to paediatric patients. These
key data points will not discourage centres from participating because of an excessive burden
of data collection. The reliability of data collection will be analysed formally using
K-statistics or intra-class correlation coefficients as appropriate.
Centre co-ordinators may request the addition of a limited number of data points to support
the national SAPSOS data collection and for subsequent regional analyses. All additional data
points must be discussed with the co-principal investigators and if necessary the steering
committee.
Centre-specific data for each hospital will be collected once including:
district/regional/tertiary centre, number of operating rooms, number of surgical, anaesthetic
and intensive care unit (ICU) doctors, nurse ratios, number and level of critical care beds,
availability of paediatric surgical wards, equipment appropriate to paediatric surgery and
anaesthesia, availability of medication and blood, details about the reimbursement status of
the hospital and public holidays or other local factors affecting patient throughput during
the study period.
Sample size calculation
The investigators intend to recruit as many patients as possible in a fourteen day period, in
order to establish a large, representative sample from all participating South African
centres. Based on audit data from potential participating sites, the investigators believe
that it is possible that the sample size may be close to 2,500 patients.
Perioperative mortality and morbidity is difficult to estimate due to the paucity of
paediatric data from Middle Low Income Countries (MLIC). Assuming an overall complication
rate following surgery of 5%, a sample size of 2,500 patients will yield 125 postoperative
events. This will allow the inclusion of 10 to 15 variables in a logistic regression model
for morbidity (including mortality and critical care admission). Statistical models may need
to be adapted to the event rate provided by the sample recruited.
Statistical analysis
The data to be collected are all collected as part of routine clinical care. Categorical
variables will be described as proportions and will be compared using chi-square tests.
Continuous variables will be described as mean and standard deviation if normally distributed
or median and inter-quartile range (IQR) if not normally distributed. Comparisons of
continuous variables between groups will be performed using t-tests, one-way ANOVA or
equivalent non parametric tests as appropriate. Univariate analysis will be performed to test
factors associated with morbidity including planned and unplanned admission to critical care
or in-hospital death.
Generalized linear mixed models using a logit link will be used to identify independent risk
or prognostic factors for binary outcomes. These will include one-level models and
hierarchical two-level models to account for the expected correlation in outcomes within
hospitals. Data will first be analysed by Province, and then at the Country level, using
Province as an independent variable. A stepwise approach will be used to enter new terms into
the regression models. Factors will be entered into the models based on their univariate
relation to outcome (p<0.05), biological plausibility and low rate of missing data.
Results will be reported as adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. A single
final analysis is planned at the end of the study.
Primary outcome measure
1. Incidence of in-hospital postoperative complications in paediatric surgical patients in
South Africa.
Secondary outcome measures
1. Rate of mortality on the day of surgery for patients < 16 years undergoing surgery in
South Africa.
2. The in-hospital mortality rate for patients < 16 years undergoing surgery in South
Africa.
3. Rate of admission to critical care.
Organisation
The steering committee will be chaired by Alexandra Torborg (AT). The management team will be
appointed by the Steering Committee. The duties of this team will include administration of
all task projects, communication between project partners (including funders, steering
committee members, national and local co-ordinators, data collation and management and
preparation of reports for individual study sites. The Steering Committee is responsible for
the scientific conduct and consistency of the project. The Steering Committee will ensure
communication between the funder(s), study management team and co-ordinators as necessary.
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