Machine Learning Sepsis Alert Notification Using Clinical Data

Sepsis Clinical Trial

— HindSight P2  

Official title:

Using Clinical Treatment Data in a Machine Learning Approach for Sepsis Detection

Clinical Trial Details — Status: Recruiting

Administrative data

• NCT number: NCT04005001
• Other study ID #: 19-569185
• Secondary ID: 2R44AA030000-02
• Status: Recruiting
• Phase: Phase 2
• Start date: September 25, 2021
• Est. completion date: August 31, 2022

Study information

• Verified date: April 2022
• Source: Dascena
• Contact: Jana Hoffman, PhD
• Phone: 2158806619
• Email: jana[@]dascena.com
• Is FDA regulated: No
• Study type: Interventional

Clinical Trial Summary

Machine learning is a powerful method to create clinical decision support (CDS) tools, when training labels reflect the desired alert behavior. In our Phase I work for this project, we developed HindSight, an encoding software that was designed to examine discharged patients' electronic health records (EHRs), identify clinicians' sepsis treatment decisions and patient outcomes, and pass those labeled outcomes and treatment decisions to an online algorithm for retraining of our machine-learning-based CDS tool for real-time sepsis alert notification, InSight. HindSight improved the performance of InSight sepsis alerts in retrospective work. In this study, we propose to assess the clinical utility of HindSight by conducting a multicenter prospective randomized controlled trial (RCT) for more accurate sepsis alerts.

Description:

We will evaluate the performance of HindSight in a randomized controlled trial (RCT). HindSight is a novel encoding software designed to optimize alerts for sepsis alert notification. HindSight identifies clinicians' sepsis-related decisions in the electronic health records of former patients and passes those events to InSight, thus supplying InSight with labeled examples of true positive sepsis cases for retraining. In our retrospective work, we have shown that HindSight enables InSight to adapt to site-specific deviations of real-world clinical deployment by successfully reducing false and irrelevant alarms, without human supervision. The goal of this project is to demonstrate that the retrospective success of HindSight can be successfully translated to live clinical environments. In our Phase I work, HindSight achieved an area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.899, 0.831 and 0.877 for clinician sepsis evaluation, treatment, and onset, respectively. By using an online learning algorithm to incorporate HindSight-labeled data into the InSight predictor, we showed that the online-trained InSight can adapt to the HindSight-labeled data and outperform both baseline and periodically re-trained versions of InSight (p < 0.05). In Aim 1, we will prospectively validate HindSight's performance on real-time patient data streams in three diverse hospitals non-interventionally. In Aim 2, we will evaluate the effect of the tool in a prospective, interventional RCT. HindSight will first be evaluated by live deployment at four academic and community hospitals, during which time it will not provide alerts of future sepsis onset. Following any necessary algorithm optimization arising from live hospital validation, we will perform an RCT to evaluate reductions in false alerts from InSight trained on HindSight sepsis labels (experimental arm), compared to InSight trained on gold standard Sepsis-3 labels (control arm).

Recruitment information / eligibility

• Status: Recruiting
• Enrollment: 37986
• Est. completion date: August 31, 2022
• Est. primary completion date: August 31, 2022
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Accepts Healthy Volunteers
• Gender: All
• Age group: 18 Years and older

Eligibility

Inclusion Criteria:

• During the study period, all patients over the age of 18 presenting to the emergency department or admitted to an inpatient unit at the participating facilities will automatically be enrolled in the study, until the enrollment target for the study is met

Exclusion Criteria:

• Patients under the age of 18

• Prisoners

Related Conditions & MeSH terms

• Sepsis
• Septic Shock
• Severe Sepsis
• Toxemia

Intervention

Other:
• HindSight
HindSight will examine the dynamic trends of clinical measurements taken from a patient's EHR and analyzes correlations between vital signs to alert for the onset of sepsis.This machine learning based tool is optimized by encoder and utilizes periodic retraining to improve its performance over time.
• InSight
Compared to the ability of the InSight software's recognition of sepsis onset to HindSight's performance. The study determines if the HindSight software has equivalent or better performance than the InSight software.

Locations

Country	Name	City	State
United States	Cooper University Health Care	Camden	New Jersey
United States	Cape Regional Medical Center	Cape May	New Jersey
United States	Baystate Health	Springfield	Massachusetts

Sponsors (5)

Lead Sponsor	Collaborator
Dascena	Baystate Health, Cape Regional Medical Center, Cooper University Medical Center, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA)

Country where clinical trial is conducted

United States, 

References & Publications (5)

Calvert J, Mao Q, Hoffman JL, Jay M, Desautels T, Mohamadlou H, Chettipally U, Das R. Using electronic health record collected clinical variables to predict medical intensive care unit mortality. Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2016 Sep 6;11:52-57. eCollection 2016 Nov. — View Citation

Calvert J, Mao Q, Rogers AJ, Barton C, Jay M, Desautels T, Mohamadlou H, Jan J, Das R. A computational approach to mortality prediction of alcohol use disorder inpatients. Comput Biol Med. 2016 Aug 1;75:74-9. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2016.05.015. Epub 2016 May 24. — View Citation

Calvert JS, Price DA, Barton CW, Chettipally UK, Das R. Discharge recommendation based on a novel technique of homeostatic analysis. J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2017 Jan;24(1):24-29. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocw014. Epub 2016 Mar 28. — View Citation

Desautels T, Calvert J, Hoffman J, Mao Q, Jay M, Fletcher G, Barton C, Chettipally U, Kerem Y, Das R. Using Transfer Learning for Improved Mortality Prediction in a Data-Scarce Hospital Setting. Biomed Inform Insights. 2017 Jun 12;9:1178222617712994. doi: 10.1177/1178222617712994. eCollection 2017. — View Citation

Shimabukuro DW, Barton CW, Feldman MD, Mataraso SJ, Das R. Effect of a machine learning-based severe sepsis prediction algorithm on patient survival and hospital length of stay: a randomised clinical trial. BMJ Open Respir Res. 2017 Nov 9;4(1):e000234. doi: 10.1136/bmjresp-2017-000234. eCollection 2017. — View Citation

Outcome

Type	Measure	Description	Time frame	Safety issue
Primary	Rate of reduction in false alerts	The primary outcome measure of interest will be false alert reduction. Successful completion of Aim 1 will be demonstrated by a positive predictive value (PPV) in a live clinical setting for which the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval meets or exceeds the benchmark from prior retrospective studies. Meeting the retrospective PPV benchmark indicates that prospective CDS quality reflects retrospective CDS quality, and is sufficiently high to reduce alarm fatigue and improve clinical utility. Success of Aim 2 is contingent upon achieving a 15% relative reduction in false alerts when comparing between the two treatment arms (p < 0.05; Fisher's Exact Test).	Through study completion, human subjects involvement will occur for an average of eight months