Clinical Trial Details
— Status: Active, not recruiting
Administrative data
| NCT number |
NCT05963360 |
| Other study ID # |
71937 |
| Secondary ID |
|
| Status |
Active, not recruiting |
| Phase |
|
| First received |
|
| Last updated |
|
| Start date |
November 1, 2022 |
| Est. completion date |
October 31, 2025 |
Study information
| Verified date |
July 2023 |
| Source |
University of Southampton |
| Contact |
n/a |
| Is FDA regulated |
No |
| Health authority |
|
| Study type |
Observational
|
Clinical Trial Summary
What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and social care
workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? As the population ages,
robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social care by older people
is needed. A lack of evidence in this areas has led to a mis-match between the health and
social care demand from the ageing population and the current workforce capacity. The
proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the workforce required to address
the specific challenge of providing health and social care for the growing numbers of older
people living with frailty.
Description:
Research Question: What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and
social care workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? Background: As
the population ages, robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social
care by older people is needed. A lack of evidence in this area has led to a mis-match
between the health and social care demand from the ageing population and the current
workforce capacity. The proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the
workforce required to address the specific challenge of providing health and social care for
the growing numbers of older people living with frailty.
Aims & Objectives: The aim of the study is to use simulation modelling to explore long-term
trends in frailty-related health and social care use in the ageing population and its
implications for future workforce size and competencies to support high quality care. The
primary objective of this study is the creation of a simulation model that will inform
service and workforce planning to meet health and social care needs associated with frailty.
Methods: The study will use a System Dynamics design to develop and test the simulation
model.
Work packages comprise a scoping review, gathering of public and professional perspectives on
service provision via a survey and stakeholder engagement activities, and analysis of linked
health and social care data, all of which inform the simulation modelling work package and
development of a workforce planning toolkit.
Timelines for delivery: The scoping review will be completed in year 1. Routine health and
social care data specification and extraction will occur in year 1, as will service mapping
and classification and survey preparation. Survey data collection and analysis will occur in
year 2. Simulation modelling will commence in year 2, with validation, sensitivity analyses
and scenario modelling in year 3.
Development of workforce guidelines and toolkit will occur in year 3 Stakeholder engagement,
including patient public involvement, will run throughout the study, reviewing study results
and informing development of the other work packages.
Anticipated impact & dissemination: This study will provide new, direct evidence about the
impact of frailty on health and social care workforce requirements within the ageing
population The improved understanding of workforce requirements offered by this study will
inform workforce planning for frailty services across health and social care, ensuring future
benefit for patients through provision of timely and appropriate care and a workforce
planning toolkit to support local decision-making.
