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Clinical Trial Details — Status: Active, not recruiting

Administrative data

NCT number NCT05963360
Other study ID # 71937
Secondary ID
Status Active, not recruiting
Phase
First received
Last updated
Start date November 1, 2022
Est. completion date October 31, 2025

Study information

Verified date July 2023
Source University of Southampton
Contact n/a
Is FDA regulated No
Health authority
Study type Observational

Clinical Trial Summary

What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and social care workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? As the population ages, robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social care by older people is needed. A lack of evidence in this areas has led to a mis-match between the health and social care demand from the ageing population and the current workforce capacity. The proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the workforce required to address the specific challenge of providing health and social care for the growing numbers of older people living with frailty.


Description:

Research Question: What is the present, and expected, size and composition of the health and social care workforce required to provide care for the frail older population? Background: As the population ages, robust workforce planning to meet future demands for health and social care by older people is needed. A lack of evidence in this area has led to a mis-match between the health and social care demand from the ageing population and the current workforce capacity. The proposed study will use demand-led simulation modelling of the workforce required to address the specific challenge of providing health and social care for the growing numbers of older people living with frailty. Aims & Objectives: The aim of the study is to use simulation modelling to explore long-term trends in frailty-related health and social care use in the ageing population and its implications for future workforce size and competencies to support high quality care. The primary objective of this study is the creation of a simulation model that will inform service and workforce planning to meet health and social care needs associated with frailty. Methods: The study will use a System Dynamics design to develop and test the simulation model. Work packages comprise a scoping review, gathering of public and professional perspectives on service provision via a survey and stakeholder engagement activities, and analysis of linked health and social care data, all of which inform the simulation modelling work package and development of a workforce planning toolkit. Timelines for delivery: The scoping review will be completed in year 1. Routine health and social care data specification and extraction will occur in year 1, as will service mapping and classification and survey preparation. Survey data collection and analysis will occur in year 2. Simulation modelling will commence in year 2, with validation, sensitivity analyses and scenario modelling in year 3. Development of workforce guidelines and toolkit will occur in year 3 Stakeholder engagement, including patient public involvement, will run throughout the study, reviewing study results and informing development of the other work packages. Anticipated impact & dissemination: This study will provide new, direct evidence about the impact of frailty on health and social care workforce requirements within the ageing population The improved understanding of workforce requirements offered by this study will inform workforce planning for frailty services across health and social care, ensuring future benefit for patients through provision of timely and appropriate care and a workforce planning toolkit to support local decision-making.


Recruitment information / eligibility

Status Active, not recruiting
Enrollment 50000
Est. completion date October 31, 2025
Est. primary completion date October 31, 2025
Accepts healthy volunteers No
Gender All
Age group 50 Years and older
Eligibility Eligibility: - Age 50yrs and above, - contributing data to the North West London NHS Integrated Care System database Exclusion: *Age below 50yrs

Study Design


Related Conditions & MeSH terms


Locations

Country Name City State
United Kingdom University of Southampton Southampton

Sponsors (4)

Lead Sponsor Collaborator
University of Southampton Bournemouth University, Southern Health NHS Foundation Trust, Tameside Hospital NHS Foundation Trust

Country where clinical trial is conducted

United Kingdom, 

Outcome

Type Measure Description Time frame Safety issue
Primary Service use (for cohort analysis) Use of primary, secondary, community, health and social care services 2015-2022
Secondary Workforce provision of services to Adults living with Frailty Information from cohort analysis, health and social care professionals survey and scoping review. 2015-2022
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