Delirium Clinical Trial
Official title:
Using Predictive Analytics to Reduce Vital Sign Checks in Stable Hospitalized Patients
The overall goals for this study are: 1) to develop a predictive model to identify patients who are stable enough to forego vital sign checks overnight, 2) incorporate this predictive model into the hospital electronic health record so physicians can view its output and use it to guide their decision-making around ordering reduced vital sign checks for select patients.
Patients in the hospital often report poor sleep. A lack of sleep not only affects a
patient's recovery from illness and their overall feeling of wellness, but it is a leading
factor in the development of delirium in the hospital. One method for improving sleep in the
hospital is to reduce the number of patient care related interruptions that a patient
experiences. Vital sign checks at night are one example. In hospitalized patients who are
clinically stable, vital sign checks that interrupt sleep are often unnecessary. However,
identifying which patients can forego these checks is not a simple task. Currently, the
hospital's quality improvement team asks physicians to think about this issue every day and
order reduced, or "sleep promotion", vital sign checks on patients they believe could safely
tolerate it. The investigators goal is to use a predictive analytics tool to reduce the
cognitive burden of this task for busy physicians.
The investigators plan to develop a logistic regression model, trained on data from the
electronic health record (EHR), to predict, for a given patient on a given night, whether
they could safely tolerate the reduction of overnight vital sign checks. The model will use
variables, such as the patient's age, the number of days they have been in the hospital, the
vital signs from that day, the lab values from that day, and other clinical variables to make
its prediction. The outcome is a binary variable, whether the patient will or will not have
abnormal vital signs that night. The training data is retrospective therefore it contains the
nighttime vitals that were observed, which the investigators will code as a binary variable
and use as the outcome variable for the model to train against.
The investigators will incorporate this algorithm into an EHR alert so physicians can observe
its output during their work, and use this information, complemented by their own clinical
judgment, to decide about ordering reduced vital sign checks for a given patient.
The investigators will study the effect of this EHR alert on several outcomes: in-hospital
delirium (measured by nurse assessment), sleep opportunity (a measurement, based on
observational EHR data, of patient care related sleep interruptions), and patient
satisfaction (measured by nationally-administered post-hospitalization HCAHPS surveys).
Balancing measures, to ensure that reduced vital sign checks do not cause patient harm, will
be rapid response calls and code blue calls.
Physician teams will be randomized to either see the EHR alert (intervention arm) or not see
the EHR alert.
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