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Clinical Trial Details — Status: Suspended

Administrative data

NCT number NCT03337256
Other study ID # GIB Score 002
Secondary ID
Status Suspended
Phase N/A
First received
Last updated
Start date September 1, 2015
Est. completion date February 28, 2026

Study information

Verified date April 2020
Source Chinese University of Hong Kong
Contact n/a
Is FDA regulated No
Health authority
Study type Interventional

Clinical Trial Summary

Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common cause for attendance to the Emergency Department with a wide range of clinical severity, ranging from insignificant to life-threatening. While there is robust data to support the benefit of upper endoscopy within 24 hours of admission, the implementation of early upper endoscopy while patients are still in the emergency room has not been widely accepted due to lack of added benefit in terms of patient outcome such as mortality and re-bleeding rate. However, the use of upper endoscopy in the emergency room with the purpose of facilitating early discharge of low risk patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding has not been studied.


Description:

The Glasgow Blatchford Score (GBS) was developed in 2000 to identify very low risk patients who would not need any intervention and were of low risk of rebleeding and death. The GBS used objective clinical parameters that could be easily obtained in the emergency department and did not use any endoscopy findings as parameters. Unlike the Rockall score which was designed to identify high risk patients, the GBS was used to identify low risk patients who could be safely discharged from the emergency department without endoscopy and studies have shown it to be superior in this regard. The main limitation of GBS is its low specificity with only 4-8% of all patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding stratified as low risk. Furthermore, the GBS was derived from a Scottish gastrointestinal bleeding registry and may not be applicable to the local population.

Suitable patients attending the Accident & Emergency Department for symptoms of upper gastrointestinal bleeding will be identified and recruited by the Accident & Emergency physicians. Patients presenting to Endoscopy Centre after admission will also be recruited to collect clinical data.

Univariate analysis was carried out on the development set using Pearson's chi-square method to examine the association among the factors on the outcome. Variables significantly associated with 30 day re-attendance rate in univariate analyses (P<=0.1) will be entered in multivariate logistic regression models. Risk factors which retained significance in multivariate analyses will be selected for incorporation into the risk score. A weighting will be assigned to each independent variable in the risk score, applying the corresponding adjusted odds ratio (AOR). The risk score for each subject is the sum of all the risk factors. To evaluate the predictive ability of the scoring system, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed and the area under the curve (AUC) was delineated. A concordance (c)-statistics was used to reflect the discriminative ability of the prediction tool.

Cost-effective economical model will be used in cost effective analysis of the use of early discharge strategy.


Recruitment information / eligibility

Status Suspended
Enrollment 762
Est. completion date February 28, 2026
Est. primary completion date August 31, 2025
Accepts healthy volunteers No
Gender All
Age group 18 Years and older
Eligibility Inclusion Criteria:

- All patients attending either the Prince of Wales Hospital or Alice Ho Miu Ling Nethersole hospital with symptoms of upper gastrointestinal bleeding will be initially resuscitated and stabilized in the Accident & Emergency Department (AED) as per local practice

Exclusion Criteria:

1. Incapable of providing informed consent

2. Age <18 years old

3. Pregnancy

4. Medically unfit to receive an upper endoscopy procedure (require O2 supplement >3L/min, persistent haemodynamic instability despite initial resuscitation, mental confusion)

5. Require admission to intensive care unit

6. Require emergency endoscopy for uncontrolled gastrointestinal bleeding

Study Design


Intervention

Diagnostic Test:
GI bleeding score
Risk factor Score component value Age (years) 15-29 -2 30-44 -1.5 45-59 0 60-74 1.5 75 2.5 Haemoglobin(g/L) 10.0 0 <9.9 2 Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 110 0 90-109 1.5 <90 2.5 Pulse (beats per min) <100 0 100 1.5 Creatinine (mmol/L) <200 0 200 3.5 Number of blood transfusion 0 0 1 1.5 2 2 Presenting symptom Melaena -1.5 Drug treatment Acid blcoking drug 1.5 anticoagulant 3 Endoscopy findings Clean-based ulcer -2 SRH or blood in stomach 4 Varices 5

Locations

Country Name City State
Hong Kong Alice Ho Miu Ling Nethersole Hospital Hong Kong
Hong Kong Prince of Wales Hospital Hong Kong

Sponsors (1)

Lead Sponsor Collaborator
Chinese University of Hong Kong

Country where clinical trial is conducted

Hong Kong, 

Outcome

Type Measure Description Time frame Safety issue
Primary Re-attendance rate to emergency department re-attendance rate to emergency department for upper gastrointestinal bleeding 30-day
Secondary Mortality rate all-cause mortality rate 30-day
Secondary Re-attendance rate to emergency department all cause re-attendance to emergency department for upper gastrointestinal bleeding 30-day
Secondary Length of hospital stay Number of days of hospitalization 30-day
Secondary Need for further medical intervention Need for further medical intervention both before and after the first upper endoscopy 30-day
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