Immunization; Infection Clinical Trial
Official title:
Testing the Effect of Mobile Conditional Cash Transfers (mCCTs) of Different Schedules and Amounts on Routine Childhood Immunization Coverage and Timeliness in Pakistan: A Randomized Control Trial.
Like many developing countries, Pakistan faces a public health challenge of low and
incomplete immunization rates of children, only 54% of children aged 12 to 24 months are
fully immunized, which leaves children susceptible to vaccine-preventable diseases. The
Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) is a low-cost and effective health intervention, but
the uptake is low, delayed, and completion rates are poor.
Door-to-door campaigns can increase coverage, but are extremely expensive. Incentive-based
approaches have been rigorously demonstrated to effectively increase take-up and completion
rates of immunization, and there is substantial evidence that small incentives can have a
large impact on the take up of preventative health behavior in general. There are two major
constraints to scaling these findings, however.
This study will attempt to find the most effective incentive design that helps increase the
coverage of full immunization rates among children between the ages of 0 - 24 months in the
city of Karachi, Pakistan. The study proposes to conduct a randomized control trial involving
small conditional cash transfers (mCCTs) to determine the optimal CCT amount (high versus
low), schedule (flat versus increasing) and design (lottery versus sure payment) that would
lead to the highest increase in immunization rates. Interactive Research and Development's
digital immunization registry will be used to enrol and randomize the study participants and
generate CCTs disbursed through a mobile money transfer platform and mobile top - ups . The
three year study will be conducted in Karachi, Pakistan enrolling a sample of 11,200
children, 0-2 years of age.
The study aims to provide evidence regarding the most cost-effective way to structure
incentives in terms of size, schedule, and design; and address the challenge of delivering
small incentives in a way that is inexpensive, logistically simple, and not subject to
leakage.
The study is a three - year randomized controlled trial that will experimentally evaluate the
impact of CCTs and SMS reminders on immunization rates of children under 2 years of age. The
study will investigate the influence of different amounts, schedules and design of CCTs on
immunization rates to (1) determine the impact of small incentives on immunization coverage
and timeliness in 0-23 months old Pakistani children, (2) measure the relative effectiveness
and cost of effectiveness of different types of incentives structures (including the amount,
progressivity and certainty of payment) on immunization coverage rates and timeliness in 0-23
months old Pakistani children and (3)determine the impact of SMS reminder (both with and
without incentives) on immunization coverage rates and timeliness in 0-23 months old
Pakistani children.
The study has a cross-cutting design where one experiment (1) will investigate (1a) sharply
increasing versus slowly increasing payouts; (1b) high incentive versus low incentive and
(1c) simple SMS reminder vs no reminder. A second experiment (2), orthogonal to the first,
will also test lottery payouts vs non-lottery payouts and will cross-cut (1a), (1b) and (1c)
with (2). Moreover two different incentive disbursement methods will be utilised namely
mobile phone credit (air time) and mobile money (hard cash) through a mobile money
provider-EasyPaisa.
The study will have a total twelve arms. The first ten arms will be the incentive arms with
eight using mobile phone credit and two utilising mobile money. Additionally arm eleven will
only provide SMS reminders while control arm twelve will neither receive CCT nor SMS.
The study will enroll a total of 11,200 participants. Additionally to evaluate the proportion
of immunized children, the study will also (4) examine 15% of the enrolled children for
sero-survey biomarkers - the gold standard for establishing immunity, among different
intervention and control arms
Study Site
All the study activities will be conducted in EPI centers in Korangi town of Pakistan, a
suburban area adjoining Karachi city, located in Korangi district of Sindh province. Korangi
town belongs to one of the lower socioeconomic areas in Karachi city. It is ethnically
diverse, with low to middle income areas and has the presence of an existing research
infrastructure and experience capable of running an mHealth immunization registry. Healthcare
services in Korangi town are provided mainly by seven public basic health units, two private
hospitals, and three private clinics.
Randomization
Enrolled participants will be randomly assigned to study arms. The stratified randomization
sequence will be created using statistical software through random block sizes. For this
study, a block randomization procedure has been put in place with a block size of 48 and six
different strata based on enrollment vaccine and gender. These strata are: BCG-Male and
BCG-Female, Penta1-Male and Penta1-Female and Penta2-Male and Penta2-Female. Performing block
randomization ensures that the effect of gender and enrollment vaccine is removed as
confounding variables in determining treatment outcomes. Furthermore, it ensures that the
treatment assignments are not over/under-represented in any particular stratum.
Study Procedure
When a child first comes to any of the participating immunization centers the field worker
will approach the caregiver and introduce the study and determine eligibility. From prior
experience, it is possible that the caregiver will be unable to recall their mobile number at
their first visit to the EPI center. Therefore, if screening criteria is not met and the
child is coming for BCG/Penta-1 visit, the field worker will instruct the caregiver to bring
the mobile number on the next visit. If the caregiver successfully provides the mobile number
up till the time of Penta-2 visit , and meets the rest of the eligibility criteria, the field
worker will proceed to taking the informed consent.The field worker will obtain a verbal
informed consent by providing a detailed explanation of the information contained in the
informed consent form and answering any questions that may arise. Contact cards will be
provided to participants containing the contact details of the study team and IRB in case of
any queries/complaints and the informed consent will be available in both English, and Urdu.
If the caregiver refuses to respond or does not consent, the child will not be enrolled, but
will proceed to the vaccinator to get his routine scheduled immunizations. Interviewees will
be informed during the informed consent process about the possibility of being approached for
enrollment in subsequent antibody assessment or any other study related follow-up
information.
If the caregiver provides consent, the child will be enrolled in the Zindagi Mehfooz digital
immunization registry platform and will receive a unique ID in the form of a QR code pasted
on the child's EPI card. The caregiver's CNIC number if provided will also be captured and
will be entered into the registry, linking the child's ID to the caregiver's CNIC. Once all
information is submitted successfully, the system is pre-programmed to randomly allocate the
child to one of several treatment groups within the two interventions.
All participants (irrespective of whether they are in the treatment or control arms) will
receive the routine EPI vaccinations as per Pakistan's EPI Immunization schedule (one dose of
BCG (Bacille Calmette-Guérin) and polio soon after birth, 3 doses of pentavalent (DPT + HepB
+ Hib) vaccine and oral polio vaccine at 6, 10 and 14 weeks of age,at 6, 10 and 14 weeks, and
2 doses of Measles vaccine and 9 and 15 months of age) and the vaccinator will record the
child's immunization data in the EPI immunization card as well as the EPI registry.
All the field data and specimen collecting activities will be conducted by a team of one
field supervisors and four field workers for every four EPI centers. The biomarker assessment
will be done by a professional phlebotomist/nurse trained in finger stick capillary blood
collection.
Follow-up
When the next immunization is due, the caregiver will receive an SMS reminder for the
follow-up visit (if in the appropriate treatment arm). At the follow up visit, the field
worker will scan the child's QR code and retrieves his/her past immunization data. If the EPI
card is not available, child data will be screened through additional identifiers (including
child name, father name, CNIC number, mobile number). The immunizations received on the
current visit will be recorded in the registry and the caregiver becomes eligible for the
cash incentive if they are in the in the appropriate intervention arms. In the control group,
no incentive or reminders are received.
Antibody Assessment Recruitment and Consent Process
After 3 months following the recommended last immunization visit of measles-2 vaccine
(children between 18 -24 months), a randomly selected sample of children will be approached
for the antibody assessments either when they come for the Measles-2 vaccine at the EPI
center or through household visit to the child's house (address of the child and phone number
of the caregiver would be recorded at the time of enrolment). Randomization will be carried
out in real-time on an android device through an online server. After conducting a short
immunization verification survey with caregiver consent, the field worker will proceed with a
detailed explanation of the information contained in the written informed consent form for
antibody assessment and signatures of the caregiver will be taken as proof of consent. Blood
collection will then proceed at the child's house and an interviewer trained in capillary
blood collection or a phlebotomist will collect a finger stick capillary blood specimen using
standard aseptic techniques into serum separator tubes. Personal protective equipment
(gloves, sharps box) will be used by the interviewer/phlebotomist and a maximum of three
capillary blood draw attempts will be attempted. To minimize distress and pain, parents may
be asked to hold, breastfeed, or provide other distractions for the child. At least one
interviewer or field supervisor will be present during the blood collection to assist. The
specimen vials will be coded immediately with the child's QR code and a maximum of 0.5 ml of
blood will be drawn from each child with a minimum volume of 0.2 ml.
If the child is not present at the time of the survey or if the caregiver would like to
reschedule the blood collection, the household will be revisited at the time the caregiver
prefers. A maximum of three attempts will made to contact the child before moving on to next
randomized child.
Each finger stick capillary blood sample will be kept in cold box at 4-8°C and transported to
Indus Lab Karachi by a designated vehicle within two to four hours of collection.
Laboratory Procedures
Lab testing will be performed periodically throughout the biomarker specimen collection
period when an adequate number of specimens are available for testing. Serum specimen will be
tested for measles IgG antibodies (Enzygonost ELISA, Siemens, Germany; reported sensitivity
and specificity of 99.6% and 100% respectively) and tetanus toxoid IgG antibodies (Euroimmun
anti-TT IgG ELISA; reported sensitivity and specificity of 94.1% and 100% respectively).
Serum samples will be categorized as negative, equivocal or positive as recommended by the
manufacturers. Samples with equivocal results will be re-tested and, if equivocal again, will
be categorized as positive, according to a previous study.
Data Management and Analysis
Data will be analyzed using STATA 13. The immunization coverage for each vaccine by study arm
will be assessed for children under 2 years of age as reported through their digital
immunization record. Bivariate and multivariate analysis using a generalized linear model of
estimated risk ratios for FIC coverage will be conducted (using α = 0.05 for evaluating
statistical significance). For multivariate analysis, covariate selection will be based on a
priori knowledge using previous studies and biological plausibility.
Primary specification for the analysis
The investigators will use intention to treat analysis—that is, all participants will be
analysed with the assumption that they remained in the treatment group to which they were
initially assigned. The main regression analysis will thus be:
Y=a SMS + b Lottery + c High*FLAT + d High*SLOPE + e Low*FLAT+ f LOW* Slope + e
Where:
Y is the relevant outcome measure (FIC coverage) The coefficient "a" gives us the impact of
the SMS reminder in the control group.
The coefficient "b" gives us the impact of lottery versus sure payment, keeping constant the
level and structure of the incentive.
The coefficients c, d, e and f give us the impact of different incentives (compared to the
SMS control group).
Antibody Data Analysis There will be three possible outcomes for the antibody analysis namely
positive, negative and equivocal. The first two are self explanatory and for the latter the
following approach will be used For a well-performed ELISA test, equivocal results are
generally caused by four reasons: an imperfect sample condition, such as general protein
degradation (low total antibody level) due to imperfect blood sample preparation; a nearly
undetectably low level of target antibody in sample; insufficient primary antibody coating;
and unspecific binding leading to high background noise. Since the current study is intended
to ascertain history of vaccination, it is intended to define positive even when protective
antibody level is not induced. Thus, the first three potential causes that lead to equivocal
results will be defined positive in this study, while the fourth potential cause will be
excluded by observing valid negative control tests.
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