Epilepsy Clinical Trial
Official title:
WEUKBRE5557: IMI PROTECT (Work Package 2): Use of Antiepileptics and Risk of Suicidality
The studies described in this protocol are all performed within the framework of PROTECT
(Pharmacoepidemiological Research on Outcomes of Therapeutics by a European ConsorTium)
Workpackage 2 and Workgroup 1. Primary aim of these studies is to develop, test and
disseminate methodological standards for the design, conduct and analysis of
Pharmacoepidemiological (PE) studies applicable to different safety issues and using
different data sources. To achieve this, results from PE studies on five key adverse events
(AEs) performed in different databases will be evaluated. Therefore, emphasis will be on the
methodological aspects of the studies in this protocol and not on the clinical consequences
of the association under investigation.
In the present project, investigators use Columbia Classification Algorithm of suicide
assessment (C-CASA) definitions as a basis to specify the operational definitions of the
different aspects of suicidality. The focus of the main analyses is on attempted suicide
including completed suicide. This is due to statistical power issues. However, investigators
will apply two additional outcome definitions in sensitivity analyses: 1) completed suicide
only and 2) completed suicide, suicide attempt, preparatory acts toward imminent suicidal
behavior, suicidal ideation plus indeterminate or potentially suicidal events. Investigators
will not include terms which clearly indicate an accidental event, or self-injurious
behavior without a suicidal intent. These definitions are listed in the statistical analysis
plan together with lists of terms from the dictionaries used in the different databases.
The objectives of this study are to 1) Compare the study results which are based on two data
sources (he UK General Practice Research Database (GPRD) and Danish registries) and
different designs and evaluate the impact of design and population differences on the
outcome of the study results (the UK database 'The Health Improvement Network' (THIN) may be
included in these analyses as well); 2) Evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of the two
data sources to study a possible association of antiepileptic drug (AED) use and
suicidality, in particular the specific outcomes of death from suicide, hospitalization due
to suicide attempt, and reports of the aspects of suicidality by the patients; 3) Estimate
risks of completed suicide, completed suicide and attempted suicide, and completed suicide,
suicide attempt, preparatory acts toward imminent suicidal behavior, suicidal ideation plus
indeterminate or potentially suicidal events overall for all AEDs and by individual AEDs
prescribed in UK and Denmark; and 4) Describe the patterns of AED prescribing in six
European databases (GPRD and THIN, UK; Danish registries; Mondriaan, Netherlands; Bavaria,
Germany; Base de Datos para la Investigación Farmacoepidemiologica en Atencion Primaria
(BIFAP), Spain).
Suicide is a major public heath concern. The estimated global burden of suicide is a million
deaths per year. Self-inflicted death accounts for 1.5% of all deaths and is the tenth
leading cause of death worldwide.
Compiling evidence on suicidality is fraught with problems. E.g. suicide deaths are
generally perceived as underreported or prone to misclassification during cause-of-death
ascertainment procedures. The suicide rates may be underestimated by 10% to 22%.
The reliability of suicidality recording in electronic databases has recently been studied.
Arana et al investigated data from the United Kingdom database THIN and found that the codes
and the algorithm used to identify suicidality had a very high predictive value (97%). The
positive predictive values for completed suicide was lower (88%) and 14% of 'true',
completed suicides were not identified as having died. Hall who did a validation study of
death and suicide recording in the same databases identified seven cases of suicide out of
1394 'true deaths' (0.5%). One had a record of 'suicide' as a Read code, a second case was
identified by 'hanging' in the comments section, a third probable suicide case by the Read
term 'overdose of drug' plus an additional comment 'paracetamol/propaxyphene', and the four
remaining cases were identified by external documents such as death certificates. Hall
excluded patients with 'major emotional events' and a history of cancer. This may be one of
the reasons why the percentage of suicide deaths was lower than expected (0.5% versus 1.5%)
as mentioned above.
Antiepileptic medications are a heterogeneous pharmacologic class characterized by various
chemical structures and postulated mechanisms of actions. The main therapeutic applications
of antiepileptics include epilepsy, bipolar disorder, depression, neuralgia, and migraine.
AEDs are among the most commonly prescribed centrally active agents. In a survey, carried
out in a Danish County, 1.1% of the studied people received AEDs. The use of these drugs
increased with increasing age.
Patients with the above mentioned indication such as epilepsy, major depression, and bipolar
disorders have a higher risk for suicide compared with the general population.
A possible association between antiepileptic drugs and suicidality has been studied using
different data sources such as the UK GPRD, the UK THIN, the US HealthCore Integrated
Research Database (HIRD), Danish patient registries, Swedish patient registries, and data
from clinical trials. The investigators applied different study designs such as cohort,
matched case-control, case-crossover studies as well as a meta-analysis.
The published effects of antiepileptic drugs on suicidality covered a range between odds
ratio (OR) 0.24 (95% CI: 0.03-2.17) for pregabalin and OR 6.42 (95% CI: 1.24-33.36) for
levetiracetam. The effects of individual AEDs differed considerably within studies and
between studies. The same holds for different indications. Arana et al found the lowest OR
in patients with epilepsy only (OR 0.59; 95% CI: 0.35 - 0.98) and the highest OR in patients
with depression only (OR 1.65; 95% CI: 1.24 - 2.19). The authors compared current use of
AEDs with no use of AEDs in different indications.
Due to the complexity of the present issue, adequate adjustment for the numerous potential
confounders such as socioeconomic aspects, various comorbidities, and concomitantly
prescribed medication, is an analytic challenge. Further to this, the availability of a
sufficiently large number of patients for investigation is another issue.
;
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