Chronic Illnesses Clinical Trial
Official title:
Comprehensive Care Provided in an Enhanced Medical Home to Improve Outcomes and Reduce Costs for High-Risk Chronically Ill Children
The purpose of this study is to assess whether an enhanced medical home providing comprehensive care is cost-effective in preventing serious illness (death, pediatric intensive care admission, or hospital stay >7d) among high-risk chronically ill children.
INTRODUCTION
Although the patient-centered medical home is widely recommended to promote cost-effective
healthcare1-6, it has not been shown in systematic reviews to improve clinical outcomes or
reduce medical costs.3,4 Medical homes have greatest potential value for high-risk patients,
including chronically ill children whose care is often fragmented, costly, and ineffective.
However, the justifiably stringent requirements for practice guidelines and the necessity to
control health care costs require compelling evidence of cost-effectiveness before
undertaking all that will be required to disseminate the patient-centered medical home for
high-risk chronically ill children throughout the U.S. For this reason we propose a
randomized trial to assess whether an enhanced medical home providing comprehensive care is
cost-effective in preventing serious illness (death, pediatric intensive care admission, or
hospital stay >7d) among high-risk chronically ill children in our center. Our study
obtained expedited approval by our Institutional Review Board (IRB) as a quality improvement
(QI) study.
METHODS
After verbal informed parental consent is obtained (as allowed by our institutional review
board for a minimal-risk QI trial to increase access to care), children are randomized
(using sealed, opaque, sequentially numbered envelopes) to usual care or comprehensive care
after stratification by maternal education (high school graduate or not) and predicted risk
of hospitalization (50-74%; >75%).
Comprehensive Care involves care for acute and chronic problems from an ethnically diverse
team of pediatricians and pediatric nurse practitioners (PNPs) who are highly trained and
experienced in treating these complex, fragile children and available at all hours by phone
and 40 hours/week in a special high-risk children's clinic. This clinic serves as a novel
medical home where both primary and specialty services are provided in the same clinic at
the same visit. The clinic is also staffed by a nutritionist and social worker and attended
monthly by a dedicated subspecialist in pediatric gastroenterology, in neurology, and in
allergy/immunology. A pediatric infectious disease specialist helped develop measures to
reduce, promptly diagnose, and effectively treat infections. These subspecialists are
available by phone for consultation at all hours. Acute problems presenting before 5 pm are
seen that day; those occurring on weekends or nights are seen the next weekday in the
morning. At any hour an emergency department (ED) visit or hospitalization is needed, our
staff discusses the child with the responsible MD and schedules prompt follow-up visits.
Multiple measures, e.g., recording and staff review of phone calls; daily checks of ED and
hospital logs; detailed review of all care before hospitalizations; parent surveys; and
active input of our Parent Advisory Board, are used to promote highest quality of care.
Usual Care is provided in the offices of private pediatricians or our general pediatrics
clinic staffed by faculty-supervised residents. Chronic problems are treated in our
subspecialty clinics. After-hours calls from parents to our center are taken by
faculty-supervised pediatric residents or faculty unlikely to know the child. Children
referred to our emergency department had no automatic follow-up appointment.
Statistical analyses and stopping rules: Intent-to-treat analyses will be performed using
Poisson regression models with robust standard error estimators (to account for within
family correlation and estimate relative risk) fitted to the number of children with a
serious illness, intensive care unit admission, hospitalization > 7 days, or death. Negative
binomial regression models will investigate group differences in the total number of such
outcomes. Models will be adjusted for baseline risk, maternal education, and length of
follow-up. A p<0.05 is considered statistically significant. Bayesian analyses will be
performed to estimate the probability of reduced serious illnesses and of reduced costs
(assuming a neutral prior probability of relative risk = 1.0; 95% credible interval =
0.5-2.0 [encompassing the largest likely effect size for major outcomes observed in
randomized trials]). We planned to enroll 400 patients to identify a one-third reduction in
total patients who developed serious illness (alpha error = 0.05; power = 0.80; projected
serious illness rate with usual care = 38%). Under predefined stopping rules, enrollment
would cease whenever Bayesian analyses performed annually from the end of the second year
identified a >95% probability that comprehensive care is cost-effective.
Economic evaluation: Hospital costs (including costs for observation stays) will be
estimated from a health system perspective by multiplying hospital charges (obtained from
hospital's claims data and Medicaid billing records) by department-specific cost-to-charge
ratios specified in the hospital's annual Medicare Cost Report. Outpatient costs for usual
care will be estimated using standard methods based on relative value units. Outpatient
costs for comprehensive care will be estimated using total clinic expenditures to include
costs for start-up, longer patient visits, extra (unbillable) services, and low patient to
staff ratios not addressed by relative value units. Costs will be inflated to 2014 U.S.
dollars based on the Consumer Price Index for medical services. Cost differences between
treatment groups will be assessed using generalized linear models with log-link and gamma
distribution, adjusting for maternal education, hospitalization risk, length of follow-up,
and within-family correlation.
The investigators will consider the program to be cost-effective if it reduces the total
children with a serious illness without increasing total clinic and hospital costs, reduced
these costs without increasing the total children with a serious illness, or reduced both.
;
Allocation: Randomized, Intervention Model: Parallel Assignment, Masking: Open Label, Primary Purpose: Health Services Research
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