Influenza Clinical Trial
Official title:
Incidence of Respiratory Illness in Outpatient Healthcare Workers Who Wear Respirators or Medical Masks While Caring for Patients
Despite widespread use of respiratory protective equipment in the U.S. healthcare workplace, there is very little clinical evidence that respirators prevent healthcare personnel (HCP) from airborne infectious diseases. Scientific investigation of this issue has been quite complicated, primarily because the use of respirators has become "the standard of care" for protection against airborne diseases in some instances, even without sufficient evidence to support their use. The key question remains: How well do respirators prevent airborne infectious diseases? The answer to this important question has important medical, public health, political and economic implications.
Prevention strategies are key in limiting the transmission of respiratory viruses such as
influenza. Among non-pharmacologic interventions, there is intense interest in the use of
facial protective equipment (FPE) - medical masks (MM) or N95 respirators (N95) - as a key
component of personal protective equipment (PPE) when faced with respiratory illness
including influenza. However, their relative protective effect is unknown, especially in the
outpatient setting (OPD). To plan for future epidemics and best manage limited supplies of
FPE, evidence is needed to guide planning activities and policy makers. This project aims to
answer a key question: How do N95s protect healthcare workers (HCWs) in the OPD against
influenza, influenza-like illness (ILI), acute respiratory illness (ARI) and other causes of
respiratory illnesses including respiratory viral illness (RV), as compared to MMs? The study
outcomes are to:
- determine the most effective FPE equipment to use to prevent disease transmission in the
OPD during an influenza outbreak, epidemic or pandemic event.
- the incidence of organism-specific rates of ARI in the OPD during the RV season.
- the incidence rate of organism-specific respiratory viral infections in the OPD.
Clinics (or their functional partitions) will be randomized into either the N95 or MM arm
using a stratified randomization scheme to ensure comparability between the two arms. All
participants, regardless of study arm, will be fit-tested for an N95. The study will require
a 16-18 week period that will be initiated when viral surveillance data indicates that
influenza season has begun. Participants will be recruited through informational meetings
with clinic staff. Participants will have blood drawn before week 1 and after the end of the
active portion of the study to assess seroconversion over the study period to capture the
incidence of non-symptomatic influenza. All participants will fill out a pre-study survey and
post on knowledge, attitudes and beliefs regarding influenza, influenza vaccinations, and
appropriate PPE.
During the first week, participants will fill out a form with basic demographic and workplace
information. Participants will be asked to 1. wear participant's appropriate FPE when in
close contact with patients with suspected or confirmed influenza or RV for the next 12-16
weeks; 2. fill out a daily form assessing exposure to ILI and FPE use, and weekly forms
assessing RV symptoms and medication use. The investigators will collect nasal and throat
(pharyngeal) swabs twice during the study for all participants, and when participants report
having an ILI or ARI. Study staff will make unannounced visits to the clinics to observe FPE
and hand hygiene compliance rates.
Participants will be compensated for participation (as detailed below). To be included the
clinical site leadership has agreed to have one of more participants in the trial. To be
included the subject(s): (1) meets the definition of "healthcare personnel" (2) is able to
read and sign informed consent (3) agrees to all requirements of the protocol, including fit
testing and diary keeping (4) is 18 years old or greater (6) passes fit testing for one of
the study supplied N95 and agrees to use that model for the entire 16 week period of the
study. Subjects are excluded if: (1) subject self-identified as having severe heart, lung,
neurological or other systemic disease that one or more Investigator believes could preclude
safe participation (2) are known to not tolerate wearing FPE for any period (3) facial hair,
or other issue such as facial adornments, preclude respirator Occupational Safety and Health
Administration (OSHA)-compliant fit testing or proper mask fit during the study period (4)
subjects are advised by Occupational Health (or other qualified clinician) to not wear the
same or similar respirator or medical mask models used in this study (5) in the opinion of
the Investigator, may not be able to reasonably participate in the trial for any reason (6)
Self-identified as in, or will be in the third trimester of pregnancy, during the study
period.
Participants will be compensated for participation. Due to space limitations details are not
presented here but are available from the overall study PI's.
During the study period, study staff will be making unannounced visits to the clinics to
measure hand hygiene and FPE compliance. The information collected will not be shared with
the supervisors or administration of the clinics.
Respiratory Protection Effectiveness Clinical Trial (ResPECT) Analysis Plan
1. Analysis timeline and procedures
A pre-specified analysis plan for the primary manuscript of ResPECT was initially
approved by all study principal and study-site lead investigators on April 2016 and
updated in May 2017 to reflect the addition of the Laboratory Detected Respiratory
Infection (LDRI) outcome to the analysis. At the time of this revision (a) all data
collection is complete, (b) all laboratory specimen samples have been tested for the
primary and secondary outcomes, and (c) the database housing all of the ResPECT data
contained no information about which clinics were assigned to which arm of the study.
Once the analysis plan is updated and changes submitted to the site IRB's, the data
coordinating center will release labels that identify separate arms of the study to the
ResPECT statisticians who will use those codes to implement the analysis as described in
this document.
2. General outline of analysis framework
The ResPECT study was a cluster-randomized trial that used constrained randomization (i.e.
matching) to ensure balance across arms. The analysis described in this document is an
unmatched analysis, i.e. the analysis does not explicitly account for the matching. This has
been described as an appropriate approach to analyzing data arising from a matched design.
The final analysis of ResPECT outcome data will consist of intention-to-treat (ITT) and
per-protocol analyses (PP) for each of the five study outcomes defined below. For each
analysis, the investigators will fit and report results from both adjusted and unadjusted
models. Unadjusted models will be analyzed at the cluster-level, and will only include a main
effect estimate for the mask and the cluster-level random effects to account for repeated
measures of related clusters across multiple seasons. Adjusted models will be analyzed at the
individual-level and will include individual-level covariates and random effects to account
for repeated measures of the same individual across seasons.
2.a Intention-to-treat analysis The ITT analysis will include all of the ResPECT participants
who were randomized— i.e., those assigned a mask based on participant's clinic affiliation.
Participant's data will be included according to participant's treatment assignment,
regardless of participant's adherence to protocol, subsequent withdrawal, failure to provide
requested data/samples, or loss to follow-up. This analysis is intended to capture a more
realistic outcome of intervention by acknowledging that noncompliance and protocol deviations
are an unavoidable part of clinical practice.
In this study, any person who was eligible according to the baseline survey will be included
in the ITT analysis. The outcomes for many participants will be missing, particularly those
who withdrew during the course of the study. This missingness could conceivably be (a)
related to outcome/illness status if individuals were more likely to quit the study because
the individuals became sick, or (b) related to the assigned intervention if those assigned
one mask over another were more likely to withdraw from study participation. The
investigators will assess possible relationships between self-reported reasons for withdrawal
and measured variables. Approaches for imputing missing data are addressed below.
2.b Per-protocol analysis Any participant who completed at least eight weeks of study
participation will be included in the per protocol analysis. This strategy will include some
participants who only had one blood draw or who are missing reliable serological data due to
timing of or lack of information on vaccination (see Participant flow for ResPECT study
analysis approaches showing ITT and per protocol cohorts and Decision Algorithm for
serological influenza outcome adjudication below). These inclusion/exclusion criteria were
decided on by the study PIs.
The reasons for missing participant blood samples include loss to follow-up with or without
formal withdrawal/deactivation, sample loss due to handling/labeling error, or insufficient
sample volume. Since the serologic definition of influenza seroconversion is a 4-fold
increase in titer, unpaired serology cannot be assigned an influenza seroconversion status
and must be imputed. Missing serologic data will not exclude the patient from the polymerase
chain reaction (PCR)-laboratory assessment. Hence, if an individual is missing a second blood
draw but had lab-confirmed influenza by PCR, then this individual will be considered to have
had a lab-confirmed influenza outcome. This may create non-random missingness, but it was
decided by PIs that since this would not impact many study participants the risk of bias to
the overall study was very low.
2.c Handling of missing data via imputation methods There will be substantial missing data in
the outcome (lab-confirmed influenza) and other covariates. The missing data will be imputed
using standard multiple imputation techniques, creating imputed datasets with no missing
values for each analysis. Each of these datasets will be analyzed using the regression models
described below. The results from all of the analyses will be pooled using standard multiple
imputation techniques for combining estimates across imputed datasets.
2. d Process for determining participant membership in ITT and per protocol cohorts
Participants signed informed consent. Those who failed to meet inclusion criteria or did not
complete screening were excluded. Those who met the inclusion criteria were randomly assigned
to a mask group and formulate the ITT cohort. The 'per protocol' cohort will not include
those who withdrew before participating (i.e., those who do not fill out any daily or weekly
surveys), or discontinued the intervention (withdraw with less than 8 weeks of
participation). The 'per protocol' cohort will include those who completed at least 8 weeks
of study. The investigators define, for each participant, the amount of time that
participants participated as the difference between the clinic activation date and latest of
either the automatically-generated time-stamp of the last completed daily or weekly survey or
the collection date of the last swab, with a maximum of 12 weeks. Those who participated for
at least 8 weeks (56 days) according to this calculation will be included in the 'per
protocol' cohort. For analyses using person time, the investigators will use the latest of
the following; the last survey completed date or collection date from a swab collection.
Decision Algorithm for serological influenza outcome adjudication:
This decision algorithm documents the process for which ResPECT participants will be
determined to have had laboratory-confirmed influenza based on serological testing only. The
possible outcomes are: laboratory confirmed influenza confirmed by serology (LCI-S) and no
laboratory confirmed influenza event confirmed by serology (no LCI-S). In some cases,
outcomes (either LCI-S or no LCI-S) will be imputed. The algorithm to classify and/or impute
these outcomes is as follows:
Step 1: Determine Study Completion Determine if participants have completed the study (and
thus in the 'per protocol' cohort) or if participants have not and thus are in the ITT cohort
Step 2: Determine serological influenza outcome for those in the 'per protocol' cohort 2a.
For those individuals in the 'per protocol' cohort who have two serological samples,
collected at the beginning and end of the season according to protocol, and who experience a
four-fold rise in influenza hemagglutination inhibition antibody (HAI) titer to exactly 0
strains, classify the serological influenza outcome as no LCI-S.
2b. For those individuals in the 'per protocol' cohort who have two serological samples,
collected at the beginning and end of the season according to protocol, and who experience a
four-fold rise in influenza HAI antibody titer to one or more strains, classify the
serological influenza outcome as LCI-S.
2c. For those individuals in the 'per protocol' cohort who do not have two serological
samples, collected at the beginning and end of the season according to protocol or who are
missing vaccination info or were vaccinated during the study, impute the serological
influenza outcome as LCI-S. Missing LCI-S status will be imputed using standard multiple
imputation techniques, creating multiple imputed datasets with no missing values for each
analysis.
Step 3: Impute the LCI-S outcome for the ITT cohort Some members of the ITT cohort did not
complete all weeks of the study and may be missing a serological outcome for the same reasons
mentioned above. For these individuals, the serological influenza outcome must be imputed.
Missing LCI-S status will be imputed using standard multiple imputation techniques, creating
multiple imputed datasets with no missing values for each analysis.
2.d Model and variable selection
This data is from a cluster-randomized clinical trial. The investigators anticipate that the
constrained randomization will ensure balance across important covariates. The clinics were
pair-matched by the following characteristics:
Study site Clinic size Clinic type (ED/Urgent care, Primary Care, Outpatient, Enhanced)
Enhanced PPE (whether HCWs wore enhanced PPE during patient procedures, e.g. in dental and
dialysis clinics) Patient population (Pediatric, Adult, or mixed)
Because these variables were matched on, the investigators will not adjust for any of them in
the multivariable regression models. However, cluster-level random intercepts as well as
additional participant-level covariates will be added to the model to adjust for possible
residual confounding that is not controlled for by the cluster-randomized design. These
covariates will be individual-level variables including:
Age, Gender, Race (White, Black or African American, Asian, Native Hawaiian or Pacific
Islander, American Indian or Alaskan Native) and ethnicity (Hispanic or Latino) Number of
household members under 5 (this has been noted as a strong risk factor for influenza),
Categorical occupation risk level (low, medium, or high), Binary season-specific flu
vaccination status (was or was not vaccinated), Proportion of daily surveys where an
individual reported exposure to someone with respiratory symptoms, and Individual-level
(self-reported) measures of mask and hand hygiene compliance.
The investigators will attempt to include all of the above-listed variables in the analysis.
No variable selection will be performed to optimize the goodness of fit of the model. No Type
I error rate adjustments will be made. Variables will be left out only if the variable
contribute to instability in model estimation: e.g. collinearity (identified by variance
inflation factors) or insufficient data to impute covariate status. In the model design
stage, the investigators identified a full set of covariates that would satisfy the sample
size recommendation that the investigators have no more than m/15 parameters in the model,
where m = min(n1, n2) and n1 and n2 are the numbers in each of the response variable
categories. Based on preliminary estimates of the total number of influenza outcomes
expected, the investigators aimed to keep the number of estimated parameters below 25.
The following variables were considered but not included in the analysis for the final model.
Justification is provided.
Follow-up variables such as contact with household members with flu: noisy, lacking flu
confirmation, and too reliant on self-reporting biases.
Cumulative study-based vaccination status (i.e. ever vaccinated, never vaccinated): would be
collinear with seasonal vaccine status.
Absence from work: not directly related to outcome, chose to include average number of hours
worked instead.
Dummy variables of clinic types: while these encode important questions, they aren't the main
purpose of the central study, and were characteristics that were matched on.
Size of household: for parsimony, the investigators will include number of household members
under 5 instead.
Clinic size: was used in matching for randomization. Comorbid conditions: hard to justify
including some and not others, of secondary relevance to the main outcome.
Average number of hours worked per week defined each season for each individual: there was a
minimum number of hours worked defined in inclusion criteria, so this range will not be
substantial.
Smoking status: secondary relevance to main outcome.
2.e Pre-specified exploratory analyses In addition to the pre-specified analyses of primary
and secondary outcomes, the investigators will run several pre-specified exploratory analyses
to assess the impact of vaccine coverage and protocol compliance with the study outcomes.
Using the models described in Sections 3 and 4 below, the investigators will consider adding
additional covariates to the models from the primary and secondary analyses. Specifically,
the investigators will examine the impact of covariates specific to a particular
cluster-season including:
Vaccine coverage among participants in the cluster Hand-hygiene compliance rate Measure of
how often any HCW in the clinic wore any mask, MM or N95 Proportion of clinic HCW enrolled in
study and size of clinic
Additionally, the investigators will assess interaction terms considering the following
variables:
Interaction of cluster-level mask compliance with mask group Interaction of individual-level
vaccination status with mask group
Finally, the investigators will investigate combinations of cluster-level, seasonal,
individual-level and cluster-seasonal random effects to capture different possible
correlation structures of the data. The magnitude of each variance component will dictate
whether the variance components are included in the final model.
3. Analysis plan for primary outcome: laboratory-confirmed influenza
3.a Outcome definitions A dichotomous variable will indicate whether or not a participant had
an episode of laboratory-confirmed influenza during a single influenza season. As specified
in the protocol, individuals who have a PCR-confirmed influenza infection collected within
seven days of symptom onset or who have a 4-fold rise in antibody titer will be considered as
a positive case, As described above, the investigators will implement a per-protocol analysis
and an ITT analysis.
3.b Planned descriptive analysis The descriptive analysis will focus on aggregated
participant numbers across the groups specified in "respect outcome tables.xlsx". The tables
are as follows: 1) demographics, comprised of a breakout across treatment arms of
characteristics including age, race, gender, occupation, clinic characteristics, vaccination
status, and comorbid conditions, 2) Adjudication, where tallies of ResPECT participants are
broken down into categories depending on participant's eligibility for the ITT and PP
analyses and influenza adjudication outcome by year, 3) Nasopharyngeal swab lab results,
where participants are broken out by year and mask type across the possible influenza and
non-influenza viruses tested during the study, and 4) Summary results of lab-confirmed
influenza, lab-confirmed non-influenza, ARI, LCRI, LDRI and ILI across intervention arms
only.
3.c Planned Primary Analysis The investigators will use an individual-level logistic
regression model to estimate the difference in influenza infection between the N95 and
medical mask groups. Let Y_ijs be an indicator of whether subject i in cluster j developed
laboratory-confirmed influenza in season s, and MASK_js is an indicator of which mask the
clinic was assigned to in season s (0 if medical mask and 1 if N95). Then the investigators
will fit a version of this model
logit[Pr(Y_{ijs}=1|MASK_{js})]=Beta_{0}+Beta_{1}*MASK_{js}+SUM_{k}(Theta_{k}*X_{k,ijs}+alpha_
{j} + alpha_{i} where the alpha_{j} are the cluster-level random intercepts, the alpha_{i}
are the individual-level random intercepts (both assumed to be normally distributed), and the
X_{k} refer to the individual-level covariates listed in Section 2.d. Unadjusted analyses
will drop individual-level covariates and random intercepts, but will retain the
cluster-level random effects.
For each fitted model, the estimated odds ratio comparing the odds of infection for those
HCPs wearing N95s compared to those HCPs wearing medical masks (i.e. exp(Beta_{1}) will be
reported, with a 95% confidence interval (CI).
The ITT and PP will use the same model equation (shown above) but will use different subsets
of participants from the full cohort as described above.
3.d Planned Sensitivity Analysis To account for the unavoidable additional uncertainty
regarding the missing data from the primary outcome, the investigators will conduct a
sensitivity analysis that randomly assigns binary outcomes to participants who did not
complete the study. Specifically, the investigators will create a two-dimensional grid on
which the investigators vary the influenza attack rates in participants who dropped out of
the study for both the medical mask (MM) and N95 arm, separately. The investigators will fix
the MM dropout attack rate between half and twice the observed MM attack rate, based on
complete data. The investigators will fix the N95 dropout attack rate between half and twice
the observed N95 attack rate, based on complete data. By varying these two parameters across
the grid, and for each combination, calculating the adjusted odds ratio (averaged across n=50
imputed datasets for each point on the grid), the investigators will observe the sensitivity
of the results to values of the missing data.
Additionally, the investigators will compare rates reporting of symptomatic events in the two
study arms. If the investigators detect a statistically significant difference in symptomatic
reporting between arms, the investigators will include a covariate adjustment of person time
in each model to account for the amount of person time under observation.
4. Analysis plan for secondary outcomes
4.a Definitions of secondary outcomes: Acute Respiratory Illness (ARI): This outcome is the
incidence of ARI as a clinical syndrome. ARI will be defined as the occurrence of signs or
symptoms of respiratory infection, as defined by Table 2 in the published protocol with or
without laboratory confirmation.
Influenza-Like Illness (ILI): This outcome is the incidence of ILI as a clinical syndrome.
ILI will be defined as temperature of 100°F [37.8°C] or greater plus cough and/or a sore
throat, with or without laboratory confirmation.
Laboratory Confirmed Respiratory Illness (LCRI): This outcome is defined as a laboratory
confirmed respiratory illness from any of the pathogens listed in Table 4 in the protocol.
Laboratory confirmed respiratory illness is ARI combined with laboratory confirmation by
reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) of infection with any of the
pathogens listed in Table 4 in an upper respiratory specimen swab after symptoms were
reported and within seven days of the original symptomatic report (PP definition of LCRI and
confirmed April, 2016). Events with multiple viruses detected will count as a single event of
LCRI. If a swab that tested positive but was not associated with a symptomatic event (i.e.
was not collected between symptom onset and seven days after symptom onset) then the incident
does not count as a LCRI event. If an individual seroconverts to influenza, had symptoms at
some time during the study, and does not have a PCR-confirmed pathogen event already, then
the investigators will assign them a single LCRI event.
Laboratory-detected respiratory infection (LDRI): For a participant with or without symptoms,
a laboratory-detected infection is defined as: 1) detection of a respiratory pathogen by PCR
or other laboratory methods or 2) serological evidence of infection (e.g., seroconversion)
with a respiratory pathogen during the study surveillance period(s). In a case where two or
more pathogens are identified in the same specimen, each pathogen will be considered to
represent a separate infection (e.g., 2 pathogens as 2 events, 3 pathogens as 3 events) for
that study participant for that time-point. Sequential detection of the same pathogens by PCR
or other laboratory method in swabs collected at least 21 days apart will be considered
separate infections.
For all of these endpoints, an individual may experience any or all of the outcomes more than
once during the course of the 12-week study. Within the same study identification (ID),
participants must report being symptom-free for at least seven days prior to the beginning of
the second event, except for LDRI which has the longer 21-day window separating events. As in
the primary endpoint section, the secondary outcomes analysis will also include a
per-protocol and an ITT analysis. A general description of these approaches is provided
above, with specific modifications discussed below.
4.b Planned secondary outcome ITT analysis As in the primary outcome ITT, this analysis will
include all of the randomized ResPECT participants regardless of withdrawal status,
participation, or protocol adherence. Secondary outcomes will be characterized using a
per-week rate of infection so that all participants may be included. The investigators will
use a covariate-adjusted individual-level log-linear Poisson regression analysis with person
time as an offset term as well as cluster-level and individual-level random intercepts. For
the ITT analysis, the amount of person time will be fixed at 12 weeks for each participant,
regardless of how much time participant participated in the study. The investigators will
include the same covariates as described in the primary outcome analysis section above in the
Poisson regression model for the ITT and per-protocol analyses. Unadjusted models will
include only the cluster-level random intercepts.
For each fitted model, the estimated incidence rate ratio between the N95 and medical mask
arm will be estimated and reported, with a 95% CI.
4.c Secondary outcome per-protocol analysis Per-protocol analyses will use the same Poisson
regression methods described for the secondary outcome ITT analyses. Additionally, the
per-protocol analyses will include ResPECT study participants who completed at least 8 weeks
(starting at the time of site activation) of the 12-week trial. All randomized participants
will be included unless participant withdrew, were administratively withdrawn, or deactivated
before participating for at least 8 weeks.
Calculation of person-weeks for each participant will proceed as follows: for individuals who
withdrew, completion date will be determined by the earliest withdrawal or deactivation date;
in the event that these dates conflict, the earlier date will be used. For all other
participants, active participation time will be calculated as the time between clinic
activation and the latest of either the automatically-generated timestamp of the last
completed daily or weekly survey or the collection date of the last swab, up to 12 weeks.
4.d Missing covariate data for secondary outcomes The analysis approaches for the secondary
outcomes will encounter instances of missing data, either in or failure to report relevant
information on self-reported forms. Areas in which these issues may require special handling
are 1) missing swab collection dates, 2) missing swab results, and 3) incomplete symptomatic
event reporting.
Missing swab collection dates are relevant for matching swab results to symptomatic event
reports. Where this data is missing (often in the case of swabs collected using take-home
kits, where participants self-collected the nasopharyngeal (NP) samples), the investigators
will attempt to match swab results to symptomatic reporting events using the swab number or
process of elimination (ie, only one event was reported and only 1 symptomatic swab was
provided).
Missing swab results may occur due to practical considerations (running out of PCR plates),
participant noncompliance, or handling errors. These results are truly missing, cannot be
recovered, and therefore must be discarded. There are also a few instances (<30 out of
>11,000, or <0.27%) in which results cannot be reliably matched to the correct individual due
to barcode transcription errors. These will be discarded if there is any doubt about the
correct assignment barcode. Since these errors did not arise in a systematic way and comprise
a very small portion of the overall available and reliable swab samples, this decision should
not affect the analysis outcome.
A few instances also exist in which participants provided a symptomatic swab but failed to
complete a symptomatic event form. Since the participant provided no details to accompany the
biological specimen, the investigators will not include these data in the analysis of ILI
events (which require specific symptom reports). However, positive symptomatic swab data
lacking specific symptom data will be included in the ARI and LCRI.
;
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