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Clinical Trial Details — Status: Completed

Administrative data

NCT number NCT02779309
Other study ID # CIHR FRN - 142876
Secondary ID Trim no. P0901 0
Status Completed
Phase
First received
Last updated
Start date January 2007
Est. completion date December 2017

Study information

Verified date May 2018
Source Ottawa Hospital Research Institute
Contact n/a
Is FDA regulated No
Health authority
Study type Observational

Clinical Trial Summary

To develop a mortality risk prediction model that can be applied to the wide spectrum of risks that are seen in the home care setting.


Description:

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Older adults living in the community often have multiple, chronic conditions and functional impairments. A challenge for healthcare providers working in the community is the lack of a predictive tool that can be applied to the broad spectrum of mortality risks observed and may be used to inform care planning.

Objective: To develop a mortality risk prediction model for older adults in the home care setting. The final algorithm will be implemented as a web-based calculator that can be used by older adults needing care, as well as their informal and formal caregivers.

Design: Open cohort study using the Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) data in Ontario, Canada, from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2013.

Participants: The derivation cohort will consist of approximately 437 000 home care recipients from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2012. A split sample validation cohort will include approximately 122 000 recipients from January 1 to December 31, 2013.

Main outcome measures: Predicted survival from the time of an RAI-HC assessment. All deaths (N ≈ 245 000) will be ascertained through linkage to the provincial vital statistics records.

Statistical analysis: Proportional hazards regression will be estimated after assessment of assumptions. Predictors will include sociodemographic characteristics, social support, health conditions, functional status, cognition, symptoms of decline, and prior healthcare use. Model performance will be evaluated for 6- and 12-month predicted risks, including measures of calibration (e.g., calibration plots) and discrimination (e.g., c-statistics). The final algorithm will be generated by combining development and validation data.


Recruitment information / eligibility

Status Completed
Enrollment 486000
Est. completion date December 2017
Est. primary completion date December 2013
Accepts healthy volunteers Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Gender All
Age group 50 Years to 105 Years
Eligibility Inclusion Criteria:

- Have received a structured RAI-HC assessment

- Between 50 and 105 years of age

Exclusion Criteria:

- Not eligible for Ontario's universal health insurance program (OHIP)

- Did not receive a structured RAI-HC assessment

Study Design


Related Conditions & MeSH terms


Intervention

Procedure:
Home Care/RAI-HC Assessment
Home care recipients who have received a comprehensive health assessment using the Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC).

Locations

Country Name City State
n/a

Sponsors (3)

Lead Sponsor Collaborator
Ottawa Hospital Research Institute Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR), Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences

Outcome

Type Measure Description Time frame Safety issue
Primary 6-month Mortality Mortality status at 6 months after receiving a structured Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) Assessment. 6 months
Secondary 12-month Mortality Mortality status at 12 months after receiving a structured Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) Assessment. 12 months
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