Community-acquired Pneumonia Clinical Trial
Official title:
Assessing Effectiveness of Community Acquired Pneumonia Treatment by Continuous Pneumonia Severity Score: a Prospective Observational Study and Randomized Controlled Trial
Community acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common respiratory infection and is the main cause of
ICU admission and death in adults. Because of most patients were treated empirically against
suspected causative microorganism, it is important to assess the effectiveness of treatment
after 3 days of anti-infective therapy. However, the criteria for treatment failure is lack
of a clear-cut and validated definition from the CAP guidelines.
Pneumonia severity scores is a wide-used severity rating system for treatment selection and
outcome prediction for CAP. So far, the pneumonia severity scores only used once before the
treatment started. Considering the pneumonia severity scores could reflect the severity of
pneumonia, it is reasonable to assume that the change of pneumonia severity scores could
reflect the patients' condition and the effectiveness of the treatment. This trail will be
designed to validate the feasibility of assessing effectiveness of CAP treatment by using
continuous pneumonia severity score.
The applicant has established a CAP patients database and found a new effective pneumonia
severity score: Expand-CURB. According to the retrospective study results, applicant found
the changes of pneumonia severity score could reflect the patients'condition and was the
independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. More specifically, if the patients'Expand-CURB
score was not improved after 3-5 days of initial treatment, the odds ratio of 30-day
mortality was 5.571 and 5.249 (95%CI 1.831-15.051, P=0.002) by univariate analysis and
multivariate analysis (the multivariate was adjusted by the initial severity of pneumonia).
In addition, the applicant found the changes of serum CRP(C reactive protein ) before and
after initial treatment also associated the patients'outcomes. If the serum CRP decreased
less than 40% or not lower than 20mg/dl after the initial treatment, the odds ratio of 30-day
mortality will be 3.692 and 3.806 (95%CI 1.867-7.756, P<0.001) by univariate analysis and
multivariate analysis.
In conclusion, the applicant established three criteria for assessing effectiveness of CAP
treatment:
1. Effective treatment by PSI: the PSI score decreased after 3-5 days the initial
treatment.
2. Effective treatment by Expand-CURB: the Expand-CURB score decreased after 3-5 days the
initial treatment.
3. Effective treatment by serum CRP: the serum CRP decreased more than 40% or lower than
20mg/dl after 3-5 days the initial treatment.
Furthermore, the applicant found combined pneumonia severity scores with CRP could predict
the 30-day mortality more efficiently. The OR for both CRP and PSI treatment failure was
2.377 (95%CI 1.100-5.136, P=0.028). And the OR for both CRP and Expand-CURB treatment failure
was 7.332 (95%CI 1.563-34.385, P=0.012). Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the
change of pneumonia severity scores and CRP could reflect the patients'condition and the
effectiveness of the treatment.
To validate the feasibility of assessing effectiveness of CAP treatment by using continuous
pneumonia severity score and changes of CRP, applicant intend to randomly allocate the
patients into three arms: Comprehensive evaluation group, PSI evaluation group and
Expand-CURB evaluation group. Patients who did not agree to participate the randomized
controlled study will be asked whether they agree to provide their clinical data for
prospective observational studies.
The primary outcomes will be 30-day mortality and ICU admission. The second outcome is length
of hospital stay.
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