Cardiovascular Disease Clinical Trial
Official title:
A Series of Randomised Controlled N-of 1 Trials in Patients Who Have Discontinued or Are Considering Discontinuing Statin Use Due to Muscle-related Symptoms to Assess if Atorvastatin Treatment Causes More Muscle Symptoms Than Placebo
Statins are known to cause rare but serious side effects such as rhabdomyolysis (breakdown of
muscle tissue) but many patients stop taking statins due to less severe symptoms, such as
muscle pain or fatigue.
This study aims to determine whether symptoms occurring during statin use are caused by
statins. The trial will compare patient-reported side effects of statins (20mg atorvastatin)
vs. placebo.
Patients will be randomized to alternating treatment blocks of either statin or placebo split
into six two-month treatment periods. At the end of each period, patients will be asked to
self-report side effects using a website or mobile app.
1. INTRODUCTION Statins reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and are recommended as
part of the treatment strategy for primary and secondary prevention of CVD. Although
statins are the most commonly prescribed treatment in the UK, there is uncertainty about
adverse effects.
Severe statin adverse effects are rare but there is widespread reporting of less
well-defined statin-related symptoms in the media, notably muscle pain and weakness that
significantly affect statin users. These reports have been prompted by non-randomised,
non-blinded observational studies but have not been confirmed in blinded randomised
controlled trials (RCTs). A major limitation of observational studies is lack of
blinding: patients taking a medication expect to experience adverse effects and
therefore report high levels of symptoms vs. statin-free population. This phenomenon,
the "nocebo" effect, leads to bias.
Many patients believe their muscle symptoms are statin related, leading to therapeutic
discontinuation. GPs face challenging decision making when patients present statin
related symptoms and there is no diagnostic tool to evaluate statin symptom burden.
StatinWISE is a N-of-1 trial and offers patients individual study results. Patients are
their own control, and therefore optimal treatment can be established. StatinWISE will
address some of the criticisms of previous evidence.
2. TRIAL DESIGN i) Randomised, double blind, placebo controlled N-of-1 trial ii) Patients
who have stopped or are considering discontinuation of their statin due to muscle
symptoms iii) Once-daily oral administration of Atorvastatin (20mg) or placebo iv) Study
treatment is 12-months v) IMP in 2-month treatment periods vi) Quantify the occurrence
of self-reported muscle symptoms vii) 200 patients will be recruited.
2.1 RECRUITMENT OF PARTICIPANTS Participants will be recruited directly from GP
Practices or by advertising to the public.
Participating practices will recruit eligible patients from two groups as follows:
i) Patients who are considering discontinuation of their statin due to muscle symptoms:
These patients will be invited to take part in the trial when they visit the GP to
report muscle symptoms believed to be associated with statins and where the patient/GP
is considering stopping statins because of the muscle symptoms. The GP or Research Nurse
will approach the patient and give the patient information sheet. If interested,
patients will be able to consent and complete the screening visit with the GP or the
Research Nurse during this appointment or it can be arranged for another suitable time.
ii) Patients who have stopped taking a statin in the last 3 years due to muscle
symptoms:
A search of the practice electronic records will be performed by the Research Nurse on a
two-monthly basis for one year (or until recruitment targets are reached) to identify
potentially eligible patients. All screened patients will be documented on a screening
log. The list will be reviewed by the GP to confirm clinical eligibility before patients
are invited to take part. A letter inviting them to attend a screening visit,
accompanied with the patient information sheet for the patient to consider, will be sent
by the trial team from their GP practice. Contact details of the Research Nurse will be
provided should the patient have any questions. A reply slip will be enclosed for the
patient to complete if they wish to attend the screening visit, which will be returned
to the Clinical Trials Unit (CTU), during which the trial will be explained, and they
will have the opportunity to ask questions. Patients will be sent a letter of invitation
to consider participation up to a maximum of three times.
iii) Patients who contact the CTU from advertising: Patients who contact the CTU in
response to advertising material will be sent a letter to request their GP details on a
reply slip. Following receipt of these documents the CTU will contact their GP with
their consent. The GP will be asked to confirm that the patient is potentially suitable
for the trial and to provide brief clinical information to allow eligibility to be
assessed. This information will then be provided to the GP surgery responsible for
recruiting the patient.
2.2 DRUG MANUFACTURE, BLINDING AND SUPPLY OF TRIAL MEDICATION Atorvastatin will be
purchased on the open market. Placebo will be manufactured specially to match the IMP.
Capsules and packaging will be identical in appearance for both IMP and placebo. DBcaps®
capsules have a unique locking mechanism to help with assuring the integrity of the
blind will be used for over encapsulation of both active and placebo treatments. The
blinding process will involve encapsulating the active tablet, complete removal of the
original manufacturer's label and replacement with the clinical trial label bearing the
randomisation number which will be used as the pack identification. Outer pack labelling
will be identical for IMP and placebo and will be in compliance with regulations.
2.3 DATA COLLECTION Baseline data will be collected at each GP practice and will be
entered directly online to the trial database provided by the LSHTM CTU. Follow up data
will be collected directly from each patient at the end of each two-month period.
Patients will choose their most suitable method of data collection:
i) Bespoke mobile app which will require patients to use their own smartphone ii)
On-line database using a computer, phone or tablet iii) Paper forms which they will
receive by post at the same time with their trial treatment and which they can complete
iv) Contact by phone. Trial staff will telephone the patient on each data collection day
and complete the questionnaire based on the patient answers.
Only data outlined on the baseline, follow up, end of trial and adverse events data
forms will be collected as part of this trial database.
END OF TRIAL DATA Patients will receive their individual results at the beginning of
month 14 and have a telephone or face-to-face appointment to discuss these results. At
month 15, trial staff will contact the patient to document their decision on statin use
and whether their results helped reach this decision. This will be the last data
collection point of the trial.
3. OUTCOME MEASURES
Primary outcome:
Self-reported 'muscle symptoms', defined as pain, weakness, tenderness, stiffness or
cramp to the body of any intensity.
The primary outcome will be assessed by the mean difference in VAS scores (range 0 to
100) between statin and placebo treatment periods, estimated via a linear mixed model.
Secondary outcomes:
- Participant belief about the cause of their muscle symptoms, the site of muscle
symptoms, how the muscle symptoms affected the participant and information about
any other symptoms.
- Adherence to medication
- Participant's decision about statin treatment following the trial
- Whether they found their own trial result helpful.
4. ANALYSIS
Individual N-of-1 trials:
The purpose of these is to inform individual patients of the effect of the IMP on their
muscle symptom score. The analysis and presentation of individual level results will be
developed in collaboration with Patient and Public Involvement (PPI) groups and will include
a range of graphical summaries and statistical analyses to identify the most informative
presentation of individual results.
Combined analysis of N-of-1 trials
Primary analysis:
To estimate the population level estimate of the trial treatment in VAS muscle symptom score,
data from each N-of-1 trial will be aggregated to form a powerful dataset, using an
intention-to-treat approach.
Patients who enter data on muscle symptoms at least once during a treatment period with the
IMP and at least once during a treatment period with placebo will be included in the primary
analysis.
The primary analysis will be a linear mixed model for VAS muscle symptom score with random
effects for participant and treatment. Residual errors will be modelled using a first-order
auto-regressive error structure within each treatment period to account for correlation
between the 7 daily measurements, with robust standard errors to account for non-normality of
the VAS scores. Although VAS muscle symptom scores are unlikely to be exactly normally
distributed, analysing such data using normal-based methods is likely to be a sufficiently
robust approach.
All tests will be two-sided. P<0.05 will be considered statistically significant.
Secondary analyses:
Secondary outcomes will be analysed in a similar manner to the primary outcome, omitting the
auto-regressive correlation structure since these secondary outcomes are measured once per
treatment period.
Descriptive statistics will be used to summarise adherence to randomised treatment, and their
relationship to the IMP and placebo periods.
The adherence to randomised treatment will underpin an efficacy analysis based around an
instrumental variables approach. Because these analyses require much stronger assumptions
than the intention-to-treat analysis above, the results of the efficacy analysis will be
presented and interpreted as a secondary analysis.
The secondary outcomes include a single binary measure of whether the participant reports
having muscle symptoms during that treatment period. This will be combined with the follow-up
question pertaining to attribution, to obtain a single binary measure of whether the
participant reports having muscle symptoms that they attribute to the study medication. These
two binary outcome measures will be assessed using a logistic mixed model with random
participant and treatment effects.
The investigators will relate the patients' decision regarding future statin use, and whether
or not the participant found their own result helpful in making their subsequent treatment
decisions, to their individual estimated effect of the IMP.
Subgroup analyses:
There are no priori subgroup analyses planned.
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