Abdomen, Acute Clinical Trial
Official title:
Geographic Influences on Emergency Laparotomy Outcomes
Introduction
'Emergency Laparotomy' is an umbrella term for a set of commonly performed procedures which
are known to carry a significant risk of mortality and morbidity. Previous work has shown
considerable inter-hospital variation in emergency laparotomy outcomes within the United
Kingdom. It is unknown whether there are significant differences in outcomes following
laparotomy which may be explained by geographic factors.
Aims
The aim of this study is to describe emergency laparotomy outcomes in Scotland as they vary
by the urban-rural nature of the patient's home location and travel time from hospital.
Methods
This research study is a retrospective observational enquiry which will utilise
administrative data from the Information Services Division (ISD) of NHS National Services
Scotland. Patient episodes will be identified by a set of procedure codes for emergency
laparotomy, and the urban-rural classification of patients will be derived from postcode
data. Travel time from hospital will also be derived from postcode data. The investigators
will study a 10 year period from January 2001 to December 2010.
The primary outcome measure will be risk-adjusted 30 day/inpatient mortality, and secondary
outcome measures will be 30 day readmission rate, 30 day re-operation rate and
post-operative length of stay.
The aim of this study is to explore the possibility that outcomes from emergency laparotomy
may vary according to:
1. the urban-rural nature of the patient's home location and
2. travel time from hospital.
This is a retrospective study of all emergency laparotomies performed in Scotland during the
period from 1st January 2001 - 31st December 2010. It will use routinely collected
administrative data from the Information Services Division (ISD) of NHS National Services
Scotland.
Emergency laparotomy will be defined as a non-elective abdominal procedure primarily on the
gut tube; and such cases will be identified by the use of a set of procedural codes, which
will be validated against local records.
Potentially significant confounding variables such as age, gender, and co-morbidity will be
studied for their predictive value in a univariate model and included in a multivariate
model if they remain significant. The primary outcome measure will be risk-adjusted 30
day/inpatient mortality, and secondary outcome measures will be 30 day readmission rate, 30
day re-operation rate, and post-operative length of stay.
The registry which will supply the data for this study is the Scottish Morbidity Record 01
(SMR01), the full title of which is the "General / Acute Inpatient and Day Case dataset"
(see http://www.adls.ac.uk/nhs-scotland/general-acute-inpatient-day-case-smr01/?detail).
SMR01 is collated and administered by ISD, and data submission is mandatory for all Scottish
NHS providers of in-patient or day-case care. Approximately 1.4 million records are added
each year. Diagnoses are coded according to International Classification of Diseases
(ICD)-10 standards and procedures are coded according to the United Kingdom's Office of
Population Census Statistics (OPCS) standards, the most recent of which is version 4.5.
The data quality in SMR01 is high and is assured by regular internal audits. In the 2010
audit of accuracy, Main Condition was recorded with an accuracy of 88% and Main Procedure
was recorded with an accuracy of 94%. Where data inconsistencies are identified in the
extract supplied for this study, further clarification will be obtained where possible with
ISD's data retrieval support team. Data completeness is very high in SMR01. However, where
significant volumes of data are missing or unusable, the need for data imputation will be
explored.
The study period was decided on pragmatically by a desire to provide an assessment of
contemporary practice, fully within the era of wide-spread laparoscopic surgery.
A power calculation also suggested that this would provide an adequate sample size to
demonstrate mortality differences. A recent paper showed 30 day mortality for emergency
laparotomy to be 14.9% (Saunders DI, Murray D, Pichel AC, Varley S, Peden CJ. Variations in
mortality after emergency laparotomy: the first report of the UK Emergency Laparotomy
Network. Br J Anaesth. 2012 Sep 1;109(3):368-75.)
It was decided that we wanted to be able to detect a mortality difference (absolute) of 2%.
Alpha was specified as 0.05 and power 0.9. Using a chi-2 test in G Power 3.1.7, it was
determined that a total N of 5221 was required to show this difference. In the study already
cited, 35 hospitals submitted data on 3 months of practice, giving a total of 1853 patients.
We extrapolated to estimate that one hospital completes 212 laparotomies per year. There are
currently 31 adult surgical centres in Scotland, resulting in an estimate of 6,565
laparotomies per year. Even accepting the smaller size of Scottish hospitals, this
demonstrates that a 10 year cohort should be more than adequate to detect a clinically
significant difference in length of stay.
The investigators will use the Scottish government's own 8-fold urban-rural classification
system (see
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/About/Methodology/UrbanRuralClassification) to
investigate the possible relationship between patient geographical location and outcome.
Urban-rural categories may be grouped for analysis, according to initial exploratory work.
The investigators will further calculate the approximate travelling time from patient home
location (using postcode) to the treating hospital, by constructing isocrones at
time/distance intervals from hospitals. Travel time will be analysed as a continuous and
discrete variable.
;
Observational Model: Ecologic or Community, Time Perspective: Retrospective
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