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Clinical Trial Details — Status: Recruiting

Administrative data

NCT number NCT05539001
Other study ID # 2022-LCYJ-MS-04
Secondary ID
Status Recruiting
Phase
First received
Last updated
Start date February 1, 2023
Est. completion date June 30, 2025

Study information

Verified date September 2022
Source The Affiliated Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School
Contact xuebing Feng, director
Phone 18805195759
Email zjj18805195759@163.com
Is FDA regulated No
Health authority
Study type Observational [Patient Registry]

Clinical Trial Summary

In order to achieve accurate diagnosis and treatment of the disease, we performed RNA sequencing and ATAC(Assay for Transposase Accessible Chromatin) chromatin open sequencing in lupus patients in the early stage. By comparing with normal controls, other rheumatic immune diseases (rheumatoid arthritis), and before and after treatment, dozens of disease-causing genes independently associated with the disease were identified. Based on the previous omics results, this project will analyze its changes in different outcomes of lupus patients, and use machine learning methods to establish an optimal severe prediction model, so as to build an early diagnosis system based on novel biomarkers and reduce all-cause mortality in patients with treatment failure rate. It is expected to produce good social and economic benefits.


Description:

The results of the previous study found that the gene expression value in the active stage of lupus disease was more than 1.5 times higher on average than in the inactive stage. PASS(Power Analysis and Sample Size) 15.0 software was used for analysis, and the sample size was calculated by t-test between groups. Two-sided α=0.05 test level was used, and the statistical power was 80% (β=0.2). According to the 3-fold difference in sample size between the groups, a total of 60 samples were needed. According to the 20% dropout rate, the total number of cases is 76. In the second stage, the validation set was allocated in a ratio of 1:1, the statistical power was 90% (β=0.1), and other conditions remained unchanged. An additional 76 lupus patients were recruited for model validation. The patients were visited in the 0th, 1st, 3rd, 6th and 12th months, and the error within 7 days was allowed for each time. The contents include the medical history, blood routine testing, urine routine testing, vital organ function testing, and BLIAG(British Isles Lupus Assessment Group index)evaluation. If any patients died, the time and cause of death were recorded. The effect evaluation index mainly include the following four aspects: (1) Epidemiological questionnaire: face-to-face inquiries by uniformly trained health professionals, mainly including the socio-demographic information of the research subjects (including gender, date of birth, marital status, education level, occupation, income level, height and weight, etc.), environmental exposure factors (including smoking, alcohol and other drug use, etc.), medical history (hypertension, diabetes, liver and kidney and other important organ diseases) and historical medical information. (2) Clinical features: the clinical manifestations (buccal erythema, skin erythema, rash, oral ulcer, arthritis, digestive, nervous and blood system involvement) of the patients were observed and examined face to face by clinicians in the department of rheumatology. (3) Test items: including general blood routine examination, urine routine (urine protein, urine protein-creatinine ratio, etc.), biochemical indexes (total bilirubin, creatinine, C-reactive protein, etc.) detection, immune routine (complement and immune globulin, etc.) and echocardiography, chest CT and other data. (4) Gene expression detection: According to the previous multi-omics research, screen out the gene sets that are different from normal people and have significant changes before and after treatment (see the research basis for details). The patients' RNA was extracted and reverse transcribed into cDNA(complementary deoxyribonucleic acid), and the expression levels of related genes at different periods were detected by PCR(Polymerase Chain Reaction) array technology. The electronic medical record report form is used uniformly for data management. In the early stage, we have established the Jiangsu Provincial Lupus Research Database Entry System to store the data of this study. The data entry and modification shall be completed by the researcher, the data shall be traceable and consistent with the original documents. Any observation and inspection results in the trial should be timely, correct, complete, clear, standardized and true. The data administrator (a member of the team statistics) is responsible for reviewing and managing the entered data. For questions about the data, the data administrator will send corresponding questions to the researcher, and the researcher will respond to the questions sent by the data administrator in time. The data administrator can question again when necessary. All subjects' information will be kept strictly confidential. Research data are also confidential. SAS(STATISTICAL ANALYSIS SYSTEM)9.4 and R software were used to process and analyze the data. The cleaning of the dataset mainly includes: a) For covariates with missing values in the dataset, excluding covariates with missing values greater than 30% and using bagging trees to fill in missing values; b) Two variables with a high degree of correlation (correlation coefficient > 0.9), excluding variables with more missing values; c) Excluding variables whose variance is 0 or close to 0, the rough calculation principle is that the frequency of the unique value is too small relative to the whole (10% in this study), and the ratio of the most frequent value to the frequency of the sub-multiple value is greater than 20; d) Box-Cox transformation was performed for non-normally distributed continuous variables. Different algorithms in machine learning are used to select features and construct models, and the prediction ability of different models is compared to obtain the optimal model. In addition to the classical logistic regression method, we also used some common methods to deal with high-dimensional data, such as linear discriminant analysis considering the linear relationship between covariates and outcomes, partial least squares regression, multiple adaptive regression spline method and elasticity network (EN). Considering that many clinical features and outcomes in clinical medicine show nonlinear correlation, we also use k-Nearest neighbors, Adaptive Boosting, support vector machine, random forest and neural network method to build a predictive model. The variance inflation factor is used to judge the collinearity problem. Different indicators are used to reflect the predictive ability of the model from multiple perspectives, and the C statistic is calculated to evaluate the predictive ability of the built model. The comprehensive judgment improvement index is used to judge the improvement of the model after the introduction of new variables. And the decision curve is drawn to find a model that predicts the largest net benefit. Before the start of the trial, the trial staff explained the informed consent form to each participant participating in the trial in an easy-to-understand manner, and obtained the written informed consent form of the participant voluntarily participating in the trial. It is guaranteed that participants can refuse to participate in this trial or withdraw from this trial at any time during the progress of the trial, and the rights and interests of subjects will not be affected in any way.


Recruitment information / eligibility

Status Recruiting
Enrollment 152
Est. completion date June 30, 2025
Est. primary completion date February 28, 2025
Accepts healthy volunteers No
Gender All
Age group 18 Years to 60 Years
Eligibility Inclusion Criteria:All of the following criteria must be met at the same time 1. Meet at least 4 of the 11 systemic lupus erythematosus(SLE) classification criteria established by the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) in 1997; 2. The age range is 18-60 years; 3. Sign the informed consent and be willing to provide blood samples Exclusion Criteria:Any meeting any of the following criteria will be excluded. 1. Have other autoimmune diseases other than SLE: including dermatomyositis/polymyositis, mixed connective tissue disease, systemic sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, etc., but not including secondary Sjogren's syndrome symptomatic patients. 2. Those with organ failure; or those with an estimated survival period of less than 4 weeks; 3. Combined with various infections (at least one blood or secretion culture result is positive, or at least one second-generation sequencing detects the pathogen sequence and conforms to clinical manifestations, or is clinically judged by a physician as infection); 4. Combined pregnancy.

Study Design


Locations

Country Name City State
China Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School Nanjing

Sponsors (1)

Lead Sponsor Collaborator
The Affiliated Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School

Country where clinical trial is conducted

China, 

References & Publications (8)

Chen W, Li W, Zhang Z, Tang X, Wu S, Yao G, Li K, Wang D, Xu Y, Feng R, Duan X, Fan X, Lu L, Chen W, Li C, Sun L. Lipocalin-2 Exacerbates Lupus Nephritis by Promoting Th1 Cell Differentiation. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2020 Oct;31(10):2263-2277. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2019090937. Epub 2020 Jul 9. — View Citation

Fanouriakis A, Kostopoulou M, Alunno A, Aringer M, Bajema I, Boletis JN, Cervera R, Doria A, Gordon C, Govoni M, Houssiau F, Jayne D, Kouloumas M, Kuhn A, Larsen JL, Lerstrom K, Moroni G, Mosca M, Schneider M, Smolen JS, Svenungsson E, Tesar V, Tincani A, Troldborg A, van Vollenhoven R, Wenzel J, Bertsias G, Boumpas DT. 2019 update of the EULAR recommendations for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus. Ann Rheum Dis. 2019 Jun;78(6):736-745. doi: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2019-215089. Epub 2019 Mar 29. — View Citation

Feng X, Pan W, Liu L, Wu M, Ding F, Hu H, Ding X, Wei H, Zou Y, Qian X, Wang M, Wu J, Tao J, Tan J, Da Z, Zhang M, Li J, Sun L; Jiangsu Lupus Collaborative Group. Prognosis for Hospitalized Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in China: 5-Year Update of the Jiangsu Cohort. PLoS One. 2016 Dec 28;11(12):e0168619. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168619. eCollection 2016. — View Citation

Feng X, Zou Y, Pan W, Wang X, Wu M, Zhang M, Tao J, Zhang Y, Tan K, Li J, Chen Z, Ding X, Qian X, Da Z, Wang M, Sun L. Prognostic indicators of hospitalized patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a large retrospective multicenter study in China. J Rheumatol. 2011 Jul;38(7):1289-95. doi: 10.3899/jrheum.101088. Epub 2011 Apr 1. — View Citation

Isenberg DA, Rahman A, Allen E, Farewell V, Akil M, Bruce IN, D'Cruz D, Griffiths B, Khamashta M, Maddison P, McHugh N, Snaith M, Teh LS, Yee CS, Zoma A, Gordon C. BILAG 2004. Development and initial validation of an updated version of the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group's disease activity index for patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Rheumatology (Oxford). 2005 Jul;44(7):902-6. doi: 10.1093/rheumatology/keh624. Epub 2005 Apr 6. — View Citation

Li K, Mo W, Wu L, Wu X, Luo C, Xiao X, Jia X, Yang H, Fei Y, Chen H, Zhang F, Li Y, Zhao L, Zhang X. Novel autoantibodies identified in ACPA-negative rheumatoid arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis. 2021 Jun;80(6):739-747. doi: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2020-218460. Epub 2021 Jan 15. — View Citation

Li Z, Wu X, Leo PJ, De Guzman E, Akkoc N, Breban M, Macfarlane GJ, Mahmoudi M, Marzo-Ortega H, Anderson LK, Wheeler L, Chou CT, Harrison AA, Stebbings S, Jones GT, Bang SY, Wang G, Jamshidi A, Farhadi E, Song J, Lin L, Li M, Wei JC, Martin NG, Wright MJ, Lee M, Wang Y, Zhan J, Zhang JS, Wang X, Jin ZB, Weisman MH, Gensler LS, Ward MM, Rahbar MH, Diekman L, Kim TH, Reveille JD, Wordsworth BP, Xu H, Brown MA; TCRI AS Group. Polygenic Risk Scores have high diagnostic capacity in ankylosing spondylitis. Ann Rheum Dis. 2021 Sep;80(9):1168-1174. doi: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2020-219446. Epub 2021 Apr 20. Erratum In: Ann Rheum Dis. 2021 Nov;80(11):e187. — View Citation

Zhu Y, Tang X, Xu Y, Wu S, Liu W, Geng L, Ma X, Tsao BP, Feng X, Sun L. RNASE2 Mediates Age-Associated B Cell Expansion Through Monocyte Derived IL-10 in Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus. Front Immunol. 2022 Feb 21;13:752189. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.752189. eCollection 2022. — View Citation

Outcome

Type Measure Description Time frame Safety issue
Primary The severity of lupus Using the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group (BILAG) to judge severe lupus 12 months after enrollment
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