Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic Clinical Trial
Official title:
Improving the Assessment of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity
Physicians' assessment of disease activity in SLE is fundamental but challenging. The
Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI-2K) is one of the most commonly
used disease activity indices. Clinical trials experience suggested that the disease activity
instruments did not function well on their own, and composite measures were developed to
address this issue. This approach has been adopted after learning from clinical trials that
the absence of a robust sensitive index is a major flaw when designing a trial. Another issue
with clinical trials is the confounding effect of corticosteroids, which to date have been
the most effective treatment for the management of lupus. However, unregulated use of
corticosteroids in drug trials decrease the investigator's ability to differentiate between
the tested drugs and placebo as they appear to enhance response among the placebo arm and
thus mask the effect of the tested drug.
In this study, the aim is to develop and validate a new index, SLEDAI-2K Glucocorticosteroid
Index (SLEDAI-2KG). It is very challenging to evaluate improvement in drug trials in the
context of the standard of care treatment which includes corticosteroids. This novel index,
SLEDAI-2KG, will help to overcome the confounding effect of corticosteroids and to allow for
more accurate description of disease improvement and thus facilitate accurate investigations
of new therapeutic agents.
Objectives:
1. To describe the development and initial validation of the SLEDAI-2KG using the Toronto
Lupus Cohort (TLC) database.
2. To conduct further validation of SLEDAI-2KG using BLISS trial data.
3. To assess concurrent construct validity of SLEDAI-2KG prospectively in the University of
Toronto Lupus Clinic.
Study design:
1. Objective one is a single center study aiming to derive a new index, SLEDAI-2KG, based
on SLEDAI-2K. Scoring of SLEDAI-2KG will be determined in this study.
2. Objective two is a retrospective analysis conducted on prospectively collected data from
two clinical trials, BLISS-52 and BLISS-76.
3. Objective three is a single centre prospective study.
Study Population and Sampling Methods:
Objective I patient selection: Patients with active disease, SLEDAI-2K ≥0, will be identified
in the TLC database. All patients must have follow up visits at 3 and 6 months.
Objective II: Data from BLISS-52 and BLISS-76 trials will be used. Objective III patient
selection: Patients followed at the Toronto Lupus Clinic from May 2017 to December 2017.
Patients will be identified based on active disease with a flare (increase in SLEDAI-2K by at
least 4 requiring an increase in the dose of prednisone to ≥ 15 mg/day or initiation of
prednisone at ≥ 15 mg/day).
Objective III patient selection: Patients followed at the Toronto Lupus Clinic from May 2017
to December 2017. The investigator will identify patients with active disease with a flare
(increase in SLEDAI-2K by at least 4 requiring an increase in the dose of prednisone to ≥ 15
mg/day or initiation of prednisone at ≥ 15 mg/day).
Data Sources:
The University of Toronto Lupus Cohort dataset and GSK BLISS-52 and BLISS-76 trial data The
Toronto Lupus Cohort (TLC) is the largest lupus cohort in Canada, and more than 1600 patients
have been enrolled in this cohort. Patients in the TLC are seen at regular intervals (2-6
months apart) and data, including laboratory and clinical parameters important to lupus, is
collected using a well-defined protocol.
Data Analysis Methods:
In objective I - Phase 1 will focus on the identification of scenarios of real patients to
derive weight scores for Glucocorticosteroid (GCS). Phase 2 will focus on the development of
SLEDAI-2KG (derivation of an equation to explain the link between SLEDAI-2K and GCS doses)
and phase 3 focused on SLEDAI-2KG validation.
The analysis of the initial validation of SLEDAI-2KG will be conducted on the selected
patients from the TLC. Improved patients (responders) will be identified based on SLEDAI-2K
definition of improvement and further will be studied by calculating the SLEDAI-2KG using the
above described models. The mean change of SLEDAI-2K scores and the mean change of SLEDAI-2KG
scores in the responders will be studied. Using the SLEDAI-2K responders as "Gold Standard",
it will be determined if SLEDAI-2KG responders are true responders and not false responders.
Concurrent construct validity: A clinician (external construct) who does not know the
patients and will evaluate each patient's record (electronic record and medical chart) and
assign a clinical activity score for each assessment according to the following scale:
improved, same, and worse, using standardized predefined definitions. The correlation between
the external construct and the change in SLEDAI-2K and SLEDAI-2KG scores will be studied.
Using the clinician scoring of disease activity-Improved as "Gold Standard", the results of
SLEDAI-2K and SLEDAI-2KG responders will be analyzed by constructing two 2x2 tables.
Sample Size for 3 objectives:
Sample Size 1: The sample size calculation of needed scenarios was based on the assumption of
reliability (Intra-class Correlation Coefficient (ICC)) ≥ 0.80 with a standard error of 0.05
and 3 raters. The required minimum was 46 scenarios.
Sample Size 2: For objective two all data available from the BLISS-52 and BLISS-76 trials
will be used.
Sample Size 3: For objective three the investigator's target sample size is 100 patients and
to achieve this number at least 18 months will be required and subsequently a 6 months period
for follow-up for each patients. Based on the COSMIN recommendations, a sample size ≥100 is
recommended in this step
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