Hepatitis Clinical Trial
Official title:
Study of Parameters of Early Hepatitis C Virus Dynamics for Predicting the Outcome of Standard Interferon Therapy With Chinese Cohort
The purpose of this study is to determine whether the outcome of interferon therapy on HCV infected patients can be early precisely predicted with a novel mathematic method with Chinese population.
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection rate in China is about 3%, which means about 30 million
patients. Combination therapy of ribavirin and interferons (IFN) is the standard clinical
treatment of HCV chronical infections. However, overall rate of sustained virological
response (SVR) still do not exceed 60% even with ribavirin and peg-IFN. Due to several
virus- and patient-related factors, treatment is even less successful in certain
populations, especially in HCV genotype 1 infection. Thus the standard therapy duration is
optimized according to the virus genotype in the clinical practice. Nowadays, two direct
antiviral agents (DAAs) have been approved by Food and Drug Administration (FDA) of USA this
year, which increases the SVR rate. However, high price, side effects and long duration
render people to hesitate about the addition of the third drug in the traditional
prescription.
Predicting the outcome of traditional therapy is the cornerstone of the personalized therapy
for HCV infected patients. In order to obtain an accurate prediction, different methods have
been tried. Several indicators have been suggested to predict the final treatment outcomes.
Rapid Virus Response (RVR), which indicates the non-detectable virus at the forth week since
therapy starts, has been used to predict the final treatment outcome.Other indicators,
including virus genotype, host genotype of IL-28B, human race and interferon stimulated
genes (ISG) expression have also been shown to relate to and be able to predict the
treatment outcomes to some extent. Here the investigators propose that the HCV virus
dynamics analysis will give a more precise prediction for the therapy outcome.
The general idea is that blood HCV titration data is obtained continuously in the early
treatment period (first 6 weeks) of the patients who have strictly followed the therapy
method. These titration data will be used to draw virus dynamics curve and calculate the
corresponding parameters individually. The parameter(s) that can distinguish patients who
reach the therapy evaluation standard from those who failed to reach the evaluation standard
will be selected out, and such parameter(s) may be used to predict the therapy outcome of a
new patient in the early stage of his/her treatment.
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Observational Model: Cohort, Time Perspective: Prospective
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