Critical Illness Clinical Trial
Official title:
A Multi-Center, Open Label Randomized Stratified Controlled Trial of the Effects of Blood Glucose Management on 90-Day All-Cause Mortality in a Heterogenous Population of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) Patients.
The primary aim of the study is to compare the effects of the two blood glucose targets on 90 day all-cause mortality in Intensive Care patients who are predicted on admission to stay in the ICU for at least one full calendar day. The hypothesis is that there is little difference in the relative risk of death between patients assigned a glucose range of 4.5 - 6.0 mmol/L, and those assigned a glucose range of less than 10.0 mmol/L with insulin being infused if blood glucose exceeds 10.0 mmol/L, and adjusted when needed to maintain blood glucose of 8.0 - 10.0 mmol/L.
The NICE-SUGAR study is a multi-centre, open label, randomised controlled trial of blood
glucose management with an intensive insulin regimen to maintain blood glucose between 4.5 -
6.0 mmol/L versus an insulin regimen maintaining blood glucose less than 10.0 mmol/L with
insulin being infused if blood glucose exceeds 10.0 mmol/L, and adjusted when needed to
maintain blood glucose between 8.0 - 10.0 mmol/L.
To ensure patient safety, the target blood glucose concentration must be closely monitored
and the results known to the clinical staff treating the patients. As patient safety is
paramount, it is not possible to blind the clinical staff to treatment allocation. In this
open-label trial, bias will be minimised by ensuring concealment of treatment allocation
prior to randomisation. The unblinded design risks introducing a systematic difference in
some other treatment between the two groups, this is unlikely in the ICU setting where many
other interventions will be administered simultaneously. The primary outcome measure is
mortality and therefore not subject to ascertainment bias.
Patient recruitment
The treatment effect in Van den Berghe's study was limited to patients who stayed in
Intensive Care for five days or longer, but all ventilated patients were admitted to the
study at the time of ICU admission. Identifying patients who will stay in the ICU for five
days or longer is problematic whereas it is relatively easy to identify patients,
particularly patients admitted for routine post-operative monitoring, who will be discharged
alive from the ICU after the day following admission. For that reason we propose to consider
all patients but exclude those expected to be discharged alive or dead before the end of the
day following admission.
The attending Intensive Care physician will make this assessment. In addition it is
essential that patients who will stay in the ICU for greater than the eligible criteria time
frame but who have a very low risk of death are excluded. For this reason we will exclude
patients who are able to eat (or who are tube fed due to pre-existing bulbar or laryngeal
dysfunction) and patients who do not merit an arterial line as part of their normal
management.
Patients who are moribund and at imminent risk of death (brain death or cardiac standstill)
will be excluded. This exclusion is on the basis that treatment allocation can not alter the
patient's outcome.
Sample size and power calculations
The ANZICS adult patient database contains information on mortality of patients staying more
than 48 hours in ICUs. In the financial years 2000, 2001 and 2002, of 43,760 patients
treated in intensive care for greater than 48 hours for whom complete data were available,
9476 died prior to hospital discharge. The hospital mortality rate was 22%. As we will
exclude less sick patients who stay greater than 48 hours and 90-day mortality is the
primary outcome measure, the study has assumed a 90-day mortality rate of 26% in the control
group.
A total of 6100 patients will be recruited, approximately 5100 of these patients will be
recruited from the ANZICS CTG centres and approximately 1000 patients will be recruited in
Canada.
The George Institute for International Health will take responsibility for the web-based
randomisation. This will be available 24 hours a day. A minimisation program will stratify
treatment allocation by type of critical illness (medical vs. surgical) and by country.
Randomisation will be achieved via a password protected fully secure study website.
Study treatments
In the lower range group, a continuous infusion of insulin administered by syringe pump will
be commenced if the blood glucose concentration exceeds 6.0 mmol/L and the infusion rate
will be adjusted to maintain the blood glucose concentration between 4.5 - 6.0 mmol/L.
In the higher range group, a continuous infusion of insulin administered by syringe pump
will be started if the blood glucose concentration exceeds 10.0 mmol/L and the infusion rate
adjusted to keep the blood glucose concentration to less than 10.0 mmol/L and titrated when
needed to maintain the blood glucose concentration between 8 - 10 mmol/L.
Adjustments to the insulin dose will be made based initially on the measurement of whole
blood glucose in undiluted arterial blood performed initially at hourly intervals. Sampling
of arterial blood will require the presence of an intra-arterial catheter in situ for
routine clinical management at the time of enrolment. The frequency of blood glucose
measurement may be reduced to two-hourly and then four hourly once the insulin regimen,
blood glucose concentration and calorie intake are sufficiently stable.
Clinical staff (both doctors and nurses) in the study ICUs will undergo formal training and
familiarisation with the insulin regimens by local study coordinators assisted by staff from
the appropriate national study coordinating centre. Subsequently the administration of
insulin will be adjusted by the intensive care doctors and nurses using the study algorithm
accessed via the secure, password protected, encrypted study website. The study algorithm
recommends insulin infusion rates whilst allowing clinician discretion, ultimate
responsibility for the safe and effective use of insulin infusions remains with the treating
clinicians
Patients being discharged from the ICU will receive conventional blood glucose management
subsequent to discharge.
Reducing the Incidence of Hypoglycaemia
A major focus of the research coordinators and principal investigators will be to educate
staff on the safe use of both insulin regimens in the study. All episodes of biochemical
hypoglycaemia will be considered serious adverse events and be reported to the coordinating
centre within 24 hours. These data will also be reported to the independent data and safety
monitoring committee. If it apparent that there is an unacceptable incidence of
hypoglycaemia, either in the study overall or in any particular centre or centres, then the
study committees will take appropriate steps to reduce the incidence. Depending on the
timing and cause of the episodes, this may include any or all of altering the blood glucose
control algorithm, altering the nutrition guidelines, instituting routine IV glucose
supplementation, increased education at one or more centres or suspending the study at one
or more centres.
Discontinuation of randomised treatment
Study treatment will continue until the patient is eating and not requiring supplementary
enteral or parenteral nutrition, or until the earlier of ICU discharge or death or 90 days
after randomisation. If during the 90-day follow up period the study treatment is ceased and
the patient subsequently deteriorates so that they again satisfy the study entry criteria,
the study treatment will be recommenced.
If at any time during the trial the treating ICU physician deems it in the patient's best
interest (for example if the patient suffers significant or repeated episodes of
hypoglycaemia) then, at the discretion of the treating physician, the study treatment can be
withdrawn. Patients withdrawn from the randomised treatment will be followed up according to
the study follow up schedule and analysed according to the intention to treat principle
unless they or their legal surrogate specifically requests such follow up be ceased.
Ancillary Treatments
Other aspects of patient management are unaffected by study procedures and the treating
clinicians will be free to provide whatever care is deemed appropriate and necessary.
Outcomes
The principal study outcome will be whether the patient is alive or dead at 90 days. This
will be determined by the research coordinator at each participating centre. The study
monitor will verify the source documentation at each monitoring visit. As death is such a
robust outcome, unintended bias in outcome assessment is unlikely. Intentional bias would
require collusion between the study monitor and research nurses and is considered most
unlikely. Given the robustness of the outcome measure, it is unnecessary to establish a
blinded outcome committee.
Secondary outcomes, also determined over the same period include:
- Death in the ICU, by 28 days and by 90 days
- Length of ICU stay
- Length of hospital stay
- The need for organ support (inotropes, renal replacement therapy and positive pressure
ventilation)
- Incidence of blood stream infections
- Incidence and severity of hypoglycaemia
- In the subgroup of patients admitted with diagnosis of traumatic brain injury, a follow
up to determine long term functional status as determined by Extended Glasgow Outcome
Scores (GOSE) will be collected at Day 90 and Six months.
Analysis of results
The George Institute will be conducting the statistical analyses. All analyses will be
performed on an intention-to-treat basis. Baseline and outcome variables will be compared
using Students t test, Chi squared and the Mann-Whitney U test as appropriate. Odds ratios
will be estimated using multiple logistic regression analysis. Survival analysis will be
performed using Kaplan Meier and Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis.
An independent statistician will conduct two blinded interim analyses when we have primary
outcome data for 2000 and 4000 patients and these will be submitted to the DSMC.
Safety and Data Monitoring Committee
An independent Safety and Data Monitoring Committee chaired by Professor Sir Richard Peto at
Oxford University, comprising experts in clinical trials, biostatistics, and intensive care
has been established. The committee will review unblinded data on patient characteristics,
treatment compliance and study outcomes at two interim analyses (availability of primary
outcome for 1500 and 3500 patients), at any other time point the committee may deem
necessary to protect study participants, and at the final analysis. The committee will be
charged with informing the study management committee if at any time there emerges:
1. Evidence beyond reasonable doubt of a difference between randomised groups in all cause
mortality
2. Evidence likely to change the practice of many clinicians already familiar with the
available evidence about the comparative effects of the two blood glucose regimens
While the definition of beyond reasonable doubt will be left to the judgement of the Safety
and Data Monitoring Committee, other committees have considered that a difference in total
mortality between randomised groups of three standard deviations would normally constitute
such evidence. While a major focus of the Committee's brief will be to monitor total
mortality, they would also be provided data on serious adverse events and would not be
precluded from making recommendations based on other outcomes such as cause-specific death
or serious non-fatal adverse events.
This study will provide reliable evidence about the comparative effects of different targets
for blood glucose concentration in patients treated in the Australasian and Canadian
intensive care setting. This evidence will have direct relevance to decisions about the care
of critically ill patients admitted to ICUs in Australia and New Zealand, Canada and the
rest of the world. If the study confirms the treatment effect reported in Van den Berghe's
study, maintaining normoglycaemia would likely become a treatment standard worldwide.
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Allocation: Randomized, Endpoint Classification: Safety/Efficacy Study, Intervention Model: Parallel Assignment, Masking: Open Label, Primary Purpose: Treatment
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